"From madness in its purest form," "a descent into hell", "a second recession" … The decision by S & P to sacrifice the "AAA" America is strong criticism from the investment community, acted unreasonably, and falls to the "worst moment", while financial markets come to wipe the worst week since the 2008 crisis . The U.S. government itself deplores the decision of the agency, marred by a miscalculation.
• John Bellows, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury
In a note posted on his blog, John Bellows has detailed the error of 2000 billion, and deplores the fact that S & P has not reconsidered its decision and has not "given an extra day to reassess carefully the analysis. (…).The size of this error, and the speed with which S & P changed its primary justification when he presented this error, raise fundamental questions about the credibility and integrity of the decision by S & P on this note, "he added.
• Warren Buffett, one of the gurus of global finance
"If there was an A + grade four, this is it I would give the United States," launched the famous billionaire 80 years on the air Fox Business News. "I do not think we (the U.S.) live a second recession," said the oracle of Omaha.
• Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize for Economics
"These people are certainly not in a position to make judgments," he was lampooned on Saturday, recalling the "AAA" distributed by S & P and its competitors to "toxic" cause of the crash world of Fall 2008.Same story with Robert Reich, former labor secretary in Bill Clinton: "The intrusion of S & P in American politics (…) is ironic because, as I noted recently, much of our debt today is directly or indirectly due to failures of S & P, "he wrote on a blog.
• Daniel Alpert, Westwood Capital founder
"The size of the economy of the United States, the wealth of their citizens and assets of the federal state itself are certainly more than adequate to repay with interest all of a few billion and 14,000 dollars of debt in the country, "said he.
• Mohamed El-Erian, head of Newport Beach
Degradation will "feed the uncertainties in the functioning of the global economy, since no other" AAA "which is able and wants to supplement or even replace the role of the United States at the center of the system Global Financial "
• Steen Jakobsen, chief economist at Saxo Bank
"Welcome to Crisis 2.0! 1.0 The crisis was the failure of the banking system to wipe the losses stemming from U.S. mortgages at risk (…).This has created a run on banks that have policies determined by moving the debt burden of the private sector to the public sector, "says he."It worked in the short term, but as seen in Europe, the market questions the ability of governments to repay their debt."
• Jean-Hervé Lorenzi, President of the Circle of economists in France
This decision is "madness in its purest form because the Americans are in their ability to repay debt one hour payday loan."
• Elie Cohen, an economist and director of research at CNRS
"In the current crisis," the degradation "adds an extra log on the fire that is taking," he laments.
• Paul Dales, analyst at Capital Economics
"The fact that Standard and Poor's has finally pulled the trigger by passing the debt rating of the United States from AAA to AA + will undoubtedly shake the financial markets opening Monday at their (…).If the mess in the markets continues, the risk of recession will increase further, "he warns.
• Ciaran O'Hagan, rates strategist at Societe Generale
"Even if it was half expected, it is a serious decision. The impact will be far reaching, "Ciaran O'Hagan omen, who fears that we have opened a" Pandora's box. " He said the decision will affect somewhat the "risk-free assets (government bonds) but the response will focus on the highest risk assets, including shares and agencies directly guaranteed by the federal government."
• Charles Wyplosz, an economics professor for Advanced Studies in Geneva
The decision by Standard and Poor's "will cause ripple effects on Spain and Italy and France put pressure (…).The euro area falls into the abyss, "he alarmed.
• Thomas Chalumeau, in Terra Nova, close to the PS
In the bond market, "we are moving towards a sustainable price increases in interest rates applied to debts of the States, the United States and Europe (…). There will be an adjustment of public expenditure by raising taxes and charges.The systematic risk of a greater austerity is to maintain unemployment at a high level, "puts it on hold.
The defense of S & P
The unprecedented deterioration of the U.S. sovereign debt "is not a sanction, much less punishment," said his part Jean-Michel Six, chief economist for Europe, Standard & Poor's.
Simply, according to David Beers, head of the department in charge of sovereign debt rating from S & P, "The downgrade reflects our view that the efficiency, stability and predictability with regard to the development policy measures and political institutions of the United States have weakened, in a time of fiscal and economic challenges that continues, even more pronounced than what we envisioned when we assigned a negative outlook to the note on 18 April 2011. "For him, "the bipartisan plan to reduce debt was not strong enough to bring long-term fiscal situation of the United States on a sound.
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Attention is on Monday that the PV for non-payment of parking up in all cities in France. Fines will now be € 17 instead of 11 euros, an increase of over 55%! According to the decree of the Ministry of Justice published Wednesday, July 27, 2011 in the Official Journal, the fine of 17 euros suppress "the non-compliance with paid parking," or "stopping or parking in a opposite direction to traffic. " It took about a year for MPs and government agree. Initially, the Finance Committee of the National Assembly had called for a more sustained recovery by adopting an amendment to the UMP Gilles Carrez, president of the local finance committee (LFC), carrying a fine of 20 euros to encourage drivers to have "virtuous behavior".Some elected officials suggested that limits the increase to 15 euros while the City of Paris had called for a penalty of 35 euros.
The government has finally won the decision by setting the value of what is familiarly called the "plum" at 17 euros. The announcement was made on February 8 by Baroin, then budget minister. This increase was long requested by local officials, who denounced a shortfall, either for PV or timestamps as revenues of the two to them. Record to justify this increase, the government put forward a rate unchanged since 1986 (75 francs or 11 online payday loans.43 euros).
"Measure of a pedagogical"
Pélissard Jacques, president of the Association of Mayors of France (AMF), a member of the finance committee of the National Assembly, who participated in this project.He explains: "The fact that there was no change for twenty-five years is extremely rare in the French political and economic landscape." According to the chairman of the MFA, this provision is twofold. First, it is a "measure of a pedagogical" since the price increase of the fine will again act as a deterrent, which was not the case for a long time with fines of 11 euros. Drivers prefer to park their vehicles without paying the parking meter by accepting the risk of being verbalized (although this is particularly common in large cities) because it exists in France a practice not to reprimand the same driver twice in the same day.
Second, the interest is "economic", since 53% of the total return of the fine to fund local government, while 47% accrues to the state.With these increases, the additional revenues are estimated at 36 million euros, given that last year the total proceeds of fines levied by municipalities for bad parking was 600 million euros (up 30% over 2009).
Tuesday, July 12 at 20:45, Stéphane Rotenberg will kick off a "Dinner almost perfect: the best team in France." "This is a series of bonuses for daily works so well, says the leader. We combine the two best candidates to represent their city. This sometimes creates dissension or complementarities. They are fans so it's very far from "Top Chef", but represent his city, this is not the same issue as to represent himself. "
Usually released in late afternoon, the program is available in the evening for the third consecutive year. In 2010, the "Battle of the regions" had attracted an average 2.9 million viewers and 13.2% audience share With the second part of the evening between the candidates for known chefs, who rise up to 40 % market share. "The goal is to repeat the same … if you can!" Smiled the host.In a TV landscape shaken by the appearance of TNT, the erosion of audience is indeed the common lot of most programs. And "Beijing Express", the sixth season ended on July 6 M6 and also presents Stéphane Rotenberg, is no exception to the rule. On average, 2.7 million of the faithful have watched the program this year, 12.7% audience share. "Only 3% of the point of hearing in less than two years ago," Beijing Express "is one of the programs that have best resisted, supports the presenter of the program launched in 2005. With three million members and 14% market share for the final, it is also not very far from our scores there are two or three years, when there were six major channels. And at the candidates, the enthusiasm is still there, since we have already received 20,000 applications for next season. "What convinced the chain of command a new season, and allow the facilitator to reflect on the development of the program. "But we do not revolutionize the program, he says. The challenge is to be creative to surprise, while reducing the budget. "
Starting Agathe LeCaron Top Chef
The show, produced by Studio 89, sometimes receives support from Red Mountain, the production company that Stéphane Rotenberg created in 2006. This example has co-produced the second part of the evening of the show ("Peking Express, The Adventure Continues"). "I know the fragility of the trade facilitator," concedes one that started as a journalist, "so I always wanted to have a second business, behind the camera yesterday and today as a producer." Red Mountain has also produced for the TNT (NRJ12, W9).Thirty-six issues of "Fast Club" were commissioned by the subsidiary of M6 for next season and new episodes of "Convoys to the extreme." With 5% audience share on average and regular spikes in excess of one million viewers, the show imported from England is among the highest ratings of the channel, and TNT. This year, Stéphane Rotenberg has also produced a dozen documentaries for 80 minutes NRJ 12, and is confident about new collaborations. "Working for TNT is not exceptionally profitable, says the producer. What is certain is that the host earns a living as best production company. " Then he nuance: "In the past, producing for TNT was the limit of volunteering. Today, these channels give more and more money because they have more public. They are more ambitious. "
A third season of the program of culinary competition "Top Chef" is on track, despite a question mark on it to replace LeCaron Agathe, the co-presenter of the show which will leave for France 5 in September. "That destabilizes a large chain programs, but we'll find. Moreover, even if there is real competition with "Masterchef" on TF1, I think it is now regarded more as a leader in this field. "
First day of opening of the Paris Air Show and business already struggling for their full long-awaited appointment of professionals. Before an audience of professionals in the aerospace, Nicolas Sarkozy called the area "to meet the challenges of globalization." "If we're not competitive, there is more than aviation industry, he said. There is only one possible strategy, the challenge of globalization by being more innovative, more creative and more competitive. "
The state has "a role" in the strategic industrial sectors, also recalled the president, referring to the "decades of public investment" in aeronautics and the level of credit facilities granted to the defense "despite the crisis ".So it is "no way" to abandon the research tax credit, assured Nicolas Sarkozy, adding that allocations of "20 billion euros of expenses" provided in the large loan will be confirmed "in a few days " business card templates.
• Boeing signed the first major order
Qatar Airways opened the show Monday orders. The airline, growing, has ordered six Boeing 777-300 long-haul aircraft ER for a list price of $ 1.7 billion. It already has 25 Boeing, including 15 Boeing 777. "The Boeing 777 continues to play a key role in our development strategy," said the CEO of the national airline of Qatar, Akbar Al Baker.
President Nicolas Sarkozy and Valerie Pécresse, Minister of Higher Education and Research, met the head of EADS, Louis Welsh.
Gain an advantage over competitors like Netflix preparing their arrival in France. Thursday, VideoFutur announced a new offering called "hybrid" meant to build consumer loyalty and especially fond of videos of recent films. Netflix based on the model, offers a package VideoFutur Pass Duo 6.99 euros to access both video on physical media (DVD, Blu-ray) and video on demand over the Internet. For that price, subscribers will have access to all films released theatrically for over nine months on DVD and Blu-ray on Wheels. They have more opportunity to access video on demand for new films four months after their release at a price of 2.99 euros per film.Finally, the subscription will provide access from the start to an unlimited number of old films on the Internet (thirty-six months after their theatrical release).
"We found that video on demand suffered from very competitive prices since, until now, users had to pay 5 euros to access a work. However, the price of a physical video is now 2.90 euros, says Marc Tessier, president of VideoFutur. It was important to align the rates of physical and dematerialized video. We also wanted to compensate for the disadvantage of video subscription which provides access to a limited number of works thirty-six months after their theatrical release. "
This marketing offensive is primarily intended to prepare announced the arrival of more competition in the market for image and video over the Internet.
Rapidly changing
Netflix, the video service to 25 million U.S. subscribers as well as Amazon and Google – the search engine which now recognizes the images – prepare for their arrival in Europe. With their agreements with major U.S. studios purveyors of blockbusters, these new players may be required. For VideoFutur, it is especially important to speed up the transfer that the company is experiencing a difficult situation. In 2010, the results showed a loss of nearly 6 million euros for a turnover amounting to 8.2 million euros, down 42%. If the company does not envisage a return to balance by 2013, however, it focuses on new developments such as increasing the number of physical stores, which should be of the order of fifty 'By the end of the year.
The record turns Greek puzzles. In Brussels on Tuesday, finance ministers of the Eurogroup have once again gathered to discuss a new rescue plan, with the stumbling block of how to involve private creditors.
The coming days ahead crucial step after the meeting convened in emergency Tuesday night. The future plan for assistance must be discussed Monday during a Eurogroup long planned – this one – in the context of the EU summit on 23 and 24 JuneMeanwhile, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel should also mention the issue in Berlin on Friday.
Crushed by the weight of a huge debt of 350 billion euros, Athens has already obtained a loan of 110 billion last year, and creditors are preparing to give a hand to the pocket extension could be around 90 billion euros, according to figures frequently mentioned.
Reactions conservative banks
"The German government is ready to take additional measures," said Tuesday the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, while holding that "of course" private sector participation was "an element" of any additional program.His Dutch counterpart, Jan Kees de Jager, for his part felt that the private sector should shoulder more than 30% of a new assistance plan.
But the European Commission, the ECB and France in particular, warn against any commitments forced march of banks and other pension funds, which could have a destabilizing effect on markets. "We are against the involvement other than a voluntary private creditors," was repeated before MEPs Mario Draghi, who should succeed Jean-Claude Trichet in November.
For its part, the Commissioner of Economic Affairs, Olli Rehn, has talked about the preparation of an "Agreement on the basis of the Vienna initiative, under which banks extend the term of their loans and do so voluntarily."For the Belgian Finance Minister Didier Reynders, "all sorts of authoritarian measures likely would include a risk for Portugal or Ireland, a risk for the euro area."
Several options are on the table. Berlin calls for an exchange of bonds, which would lengthen the debt maturity of seven years. The other track to the study is a continuation of voluntary debt maturities (rollover).
The ground is shifting, investors can quickly interpret a conscription as a step toward bankruptcy. As a warning, the rating agency Standard & Poor's downgraded three notches Monday note of Greece, to "CCC".
From the banking side, the reactions are currently cautious.The German Banking Federation Saturday approved the principle of private sector participation, without specifying the terms, while the governor of the Bank of France showed its confidence in the financial system driver (see below). French and German institutions are most at risk from international creditors.
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Notaries, tax and estate planning departments of banks are preparing for busy week. Many individuals want to make donations before the vote – scheduled for early July – the tax reform Heritage presented last week. "There is a window of opportunity for all those who want to give," says Bertrand de la Grandière at Compagnie Financière Edmond de Rothschild payday loans direct lenders.
The reform removes, of course, the tax shield and landscape ISF, but also increases the taxation of gifts and estates. The allowance of 159,325 euros remains for transmission to a child, and the surviving spouse is exempt from inheritance tax. But the fees payable in case of large gifts will increase as a result of several measures.
Meanwhile how OL GROUP, led by Jean-Michel Aulas, will provide funding for a new stadium, investors seem to be on the lookout for any new funding. On Monday, the track climbed nearly 2% to 5.90 euros after the announcement this weekend by the management of the signing of the syndicated loan of 57 million. The group currently holds the club's third championship in fact explains in a statement it had finalized with Credit Lyonnais, Groupe CM-CIC (as mandated arrangers) and BNP Paribas (as arranger) this line of credit a maturity of 3 years, "with an option to extend for one year." Other consortium members are bank Societe Generale, HSBC, Natixis and Banque Populaire Loire and Lyon.More than the mobilization of new financial, OL Groupe thus increases its flexibility by bringing together under a single credit to longer maturities and unique, its old lines of credit previously negotiated on a case by case and according to different timelines, with each bank . "The credit line is part of a substitute bilateral credit lines currently in place," said Chief Financial indeed.
Avoid tap into cash
Figaro.fr reached, the group does not want to give details of the use of these funds, but said "they will not be allocated to build the new stadium payday loans. They will secure the needs of medium-term funding to continue the group's strategy in avoiding the use of cash. " In late 2010, it (net debt) amounted to 8.2 million.The group said in a statement that the proposed new stadium will be dedicated funding, "under consideration". The latest plans known to management, project financing would be split apart roughly equally between bank loans, funds provided by the club itself, and commercial contracts. However, the project now appears stalled, while the group is still awaiting authorization from the Stadium of Light in the suburbs of Lyon. In 2009/2010, the net loss of one football club side at the Paris Stock Exchange reached 35.6 million euros, hit by a decline in product transfers of players.Last February, the club has however announced a reduction of 2 million euros of its semi-annual net loss to 6.7 million.
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Enters the digital manners but the paper remains a mainstay for news readers. Over the last three months, 42% of them have downloaded or streamed digital press on websites, against 58% who did not plunge, according to the third barometer REC conducted by the institute GfK France. In digital players, 53% of their time is devoted to digital media, against 47% in the paper.
"These numbers are slow to change, says Philip Person, entertainment director at GfK. But not all news readers are gradually converting to the new media, much faster than readers of books, which are only 10% download e-books. "In terms of intentions, 47% of respondents plan to upload or to consult the digital press in the past three months. 22% consider applications via mobile phones or tablets.
The changeover is very real, but it is far from total. Only 11% of those who download or access the online press no longer use paper. Complementarity emerges among the clipboard and digital press. But she has yet to fix, as offers of pay information online will require changes in behavior.
Dailies favored
The news broadcast by the general news sites attracted 6.6 million daily users, according to the statement Médiamétrie in March. In their research online, 79% of readers prefer digital sites of national newspapers (Le Figaro, Le Monde …), far ahead of those of the regional daily press (Ouest France …) and news magazines (L'Express, Le Point …). Normally, they are the ones that produce the largest share of the supply of online content."The information is very diverse, both in terms of themes that treatment modes, flash and gross factual background folder, via blogs, etc.." Noted Jean-Marie Charon and Patrick Le Floch, authors of The Press online. "In times of hot news, as during the events of recent times in Japan or in Arab countries, people need to know what is happening and quickly," says Philip Person. The Internet has become a tool to meet this demand. "
Portugal always pays more dearly for his obstinacy in refusing the help offered her the International Monetary Fund and the European Union. On Wednesday, the country has issued 1.005 billion euros of treasury bills (short term) to investors, who demanded interest rates high. One for the issuance of 455 million euros in 12 months stood at 5.902%, 1.5 points higher than during the previous operation. 550 million in vouchers to 6 months were issued against a rate of 5.117%, well above the 2.984% of the last similar exercise in early March.
Still, the government said for the first time since the crisis began, he was "able to ensure its financial commitments." Resigned, the Socialist Prime Minister Jose Socrates steadfastly refuses to resort to the European financial stability and the International Monetary Fund.And despite a high public deficit and growth conspicuously absent.
Borrow short term
In response, the rating agencies have deteriorated in recent days the debt rating of the country. Fitch and Standard & Poor's have now placed one notch from relegation in the category of "junk" that is to say, very risky. Markets are concerned that Lisbon can not repay large debt maturities in April (€ 4.2 billion) and June (4.9 billion).
To pass these tests without the need for European aid plan and while minimizing the invoice, Lisbon could be tempted to borrow in the short term (due within two years) payday loans with no fax."The Portuguese Treasury has recently presented its program of debt issuance for the second half: he confirmed that he wanted to sell 7 billion euros of bonds, short term, but has not announced anything on the bonds (maturity greater than two years, Ed), "said Cyril Regnat, strategist at Natixis.
Allies Lusophone
Portugal can count on allies to buy its bonds. Brazil has said it would support early April its former colonizer in turmoil. Macao, a former Portuguese property, said March 30 that it buys debt Portuguese (but its means are limited.)Gilles Moec, economist at Deutsche Bank, for its part suspected Portuguese banks under direct or indirect control of the state to be a strong incentive to buy down the national debt.
According to the Economist, the Portuguese authorities might be able to avoid resorting to the aid plan before new parliamentary elections scheduled for June 5. But, he warns, "after that date, Portugal should have much more in its coffers." Perhaps the country he has no time to wait that long. Thursday and Friday, the European Council of Ministers of Finance should, according to Reuters, consider the options "economic and legal" yet on this issue. The opportunity, once again, pushing Lisbon to accept the outstretched hand.
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