Good news for holders of a booklet A. Next Sunday, August 1, the rate of return on investment the most popular in France will increase from 1.25% to 1.75%.
The French plébiscitent more than ever the Livret A. At the end of 2009, there were no fewer than 59.3 million savings books (and blue, distributed by Crédit Mutuel), nearly 65 million inhabitants! If one adds the 600,000 booklets initiated by associations, there are nearly 60 million savings books (59.9 million to be exact). That is 10 million more than 2008 (49.69 million booklets A and blue).The current 60 million books, however, must be qualified because, contrary to what the law says, many French people have more than one account.
The widespread distribution of the Livret A, 1 January 2009, has allowed this very old investment (born 1818) to learn a new youth. "The interchange has resulted in strengthening the collection, especially during the first quarter of 2009, in a context it is true in favor of regulated savings," said Christian Noyer, governor of the Bank of France and President of the Observatory regulated savings. For the record, between August 2008 and February 2009, Book A reported 4% net of taxes!
Young people more attracted
In total, at the end of last year, the outstanding Blue Book A and amounted to 183.4 billion euros, up 11%.Of this amount, "153 billion euros have been collected by distributors historical (the Savings Bank, La Banque Postale and Crédit Mutuel) and 30.3 billion from other banks, which for them represents 18% collection, "said Christian Noyer. This proves that, contrary to what some feared, dealers history have resisted the opening to competition.
Disoriented by the chaotic stock market and uncertain economic climate, investors continue to place their savings passbooks regulated, however low returns.
Despite a slump in June, in the first six months of the year, collecting on the book A and book Sustainable Development (ex-Codevi) remained positive at 990 million euros. This trend should continue and even grow in the coming months.Generally, the higher rates in effect encouraged the French, always very reluctant to risk, to feed their booklets.
In late 2009, 42% of assets were placed on 4.3 million booklets only! In contrast, more than half of the accounts (30 million) were credited with less than 150 euros. Is it because the book A is held mostly by young people (usually minor)? Older people (over 65) it would generally prefer other types of investments, such as life insurance.
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The decline in registrations in France in June already gave an overview of the state's automobile market throughout the European Union (EU). The European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA) has confirmed on Thursday the downward trend by announcing a 6.9% decline in registrations in the EU. In total, 1,341,092 vehicles were registered in June
For June alone, the largest drops are collected by Slovakia (-40.6%), Greece (-39.3%) and Bulgaria (-32.1%). In addition to these countries is Germany, the largest European car market, with a decrease of 32.3% to 289,259 vehicles registered. France, second largest market, recorded a decline of 1.3% lighter.To explain this phenomenon, ACEA highlights the end of support measures for the sector, including the scrapping bonus.
The largest increases were reported in Ireland (75.8%), Portugal (62.5%), Finland (54.6%) or Spain (+25.6%) and United Kingdom (+10.8%).
Fiercely negotiated three days in Toronto, the draft statement of the G20 should offend anyone. If it includes the rigorous growth strategy, it also warns against excessive austerity. Still as unpopular worldwide, the tax credit is mentioned by the G20 as a means available to states to pass through to the banks of the crisis mess. The 28 pages of draft final declaration, which obtained a copy of Figaro, operate a subtle synthesis between European and American positions.
Angela Merkel can boast of having imposed the virtues of fiscal discipline at the highest level. But to the relief of Barack Obama and Nicolas Sarkozy, she has not transformed the G20 summit of austerity."Recent events show the importance of sustainable public finances and the need for our countries to implement measures to consolidate budget spread over time, conducive to growth, and differentiated according to country and national circumstances," says the One of the phrases most discussed compromise.
Determined to make growth "priority" of the G20, the United States got to place the term "recovery" prominently in the declaration, a challenge, says a trader. "We need to let it work through our plans to consolidate fiscal stimulus recovery," said the G20 as well. "Adjustments in simultaneous biggest countries could undermine the recovery," it added.
Disagreement over the top on bank charges
Canada has not really managed to impose a stability pact worldwide."Advanced economies have pledged to take measures to consolidate budgetary decline by at least half the deficit by 2013, and stabilize or reduce the debt / GDP ratio by 2016, said the G20. Nothing that does very afraid of the euro area, or even France, which has promised to reduce its deficit to 3% in 2013. The White House, meanwhile, did not wait for the G20 to commit to reducing the U.S. budget deficit by half in 2013 to return to deficits of 3% in 2015.
If the disagreement at the summit endorsed the tax credit, due to strong opposition from Canada to Australia, but also emerging countries (China, India, Russia), the G20 mention the tax as an option for countries seeking to save public money in any future banking crisis.Defended by the IMF, the tax would be adjusted to take the risk profile of financial institutions.
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Discussed Tuesday by "government sources" quoted by AFP, the tax "special" on incomes over 11,000 euros per month to finance retirement, lived. If that threshold had been applied by household income, a couple of executives earning 5,500 euros each have been struck. A level consistent with the definition of "rich" François Hollande (PS) but remains visible in the middle class for Nicolas Sarkozy. The government is therefore seeking a way to help high incomes.
Among the possibilities is a slice of the additional income tax. This is part of decisions that must still be taken as setting the new age. "For the public finances, better go to 62 by 2018 (or extension by a quarter per year) to 63 years by 2030," argues a government source.Way to break in the speech? Response no later than Wednesday, with a press conference of Éric Woerth. The head of the state will not talk about retirement at this point.
Put under pressure by Guy Wyser-Pratte complains strategy, Arnaud Lagard?re, general partner of the Lagard?re group, has defended his record at the general meeting of shareholders held this morning at the Palais des Congr?s Paris. He said he was "optimistic" about prospects for his group in 2010. "In 2009, the cash flow was very well kept, with 650 million euros. And that's a powerful symbol of a sound and applied to the cash, "said Arnaud Lagardere. He added: "All family groups are extremely sensitive to this criterion one, which is the most vital criterion for a company in the long term."
Lagard?re: -18% and 10% in less than a year
In 2009, Lagard?re has 4 divided by its net profit to 137 million euros and issued a revenue down 4% to 7.9 billion euros.Lagardere will publish its turnover in the first quarter 2010 on May 11 next.
It is interesting to note that since the offensive led by Guy Wyser-Pratte cons strategy Arnaud Lagard?re, General Partner of Lagard?re, March 25 last, the stock has gained around 10% (figure at 10:30 AM, Ed) . And, while the price lost almost 18% since October 2009. He took the opportunity to slip a few tackles to Guy Wyser-Pratte: "The dictatorship of the immediate is probably the most destructive of shareholder value. We will never get into the music, the display and large terrestrial TV and pay, "said Arnaud Lagardere.
The Autorit? des march?s financiers (AMF) by its president Jean-Pierre Jouyet, has confirmed that the Lagard?re was put under surveillance for several weeks."As in such situations, we monitored closely the evolution of the title and the statements of each other in the preparation of this meeting," he said Monday at Canal + Guaranteed high risk Personal loans.
The MFA does not investigate
Last Friday, a spokesman for the AMF had confirmed receiving a letter of Lagard?re."We look at which patterns of the market as we look at the title and transaction information is transmitted," she said, adding that a supervision order does not imply any launch an investigation.
In late March, the American financier Guy Wyser-Pratte, who holds 0.53% stake in the group Lagard?re has submitted two resolutions: one to make his entrance to the supervisory board and the other to call into question the Staff Partnership Group for Lagardere to develop it into a corporation. Two resolutions that Arnaud Lagardere has always opposed.
Guy Wyser-Pratte can count on the support of Riskmetrics, a consulting firm specializing in governance and whose advice is well attended by institutional investors, representing over 78% of the capital of Lagard?re.For its part, Arnaud Lagardere has received support from the Association of Small Holders assets (Appac) holding 3.5% stake in Arcelor.
After one of the few values to evolve in the green at the Paris Bourse, the Lagard?re shows a sharp decline towards 12.15: -0.71% to 31.41 euros in a market down by 1.46% .
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Oil climbs again
Insensitive to calls for a "perfect price" of $ 80 a barrel, launched by OPEC, oil prices clung all week at the helm of $ 86. A barrel of light crude Texas (WTI) for May delivery has exceeded the 87 dollars for the first time since October 2008 last week.
The markets were quickly erased their losses Wednesday and Thursday, with a barrel qutour income of $ 85. Investors were then cooled by a rebound in the dollar and especially by a surprise increase in weekly unemployment registration. During the week of April 3, the latter amounted to 460,000 against 442,000 the previous week, according to the Department of Labor.An indicator that put the brakes on optimism the speed of recovery and hence the increase in oil demand.
On Friday, during fro above $ 86 a barrel in New York, enjoying a rebound in equity markets and a slight weakening of the dollar. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for delivery in May stood at 85.74 dollars on the InterContinental Exchange (ICE) in London. "We needed a correction, we have had, then one starts to rise," noted Tom Bentz of BNP Paribas. "It's always the same story, it has small downturns, and buyers are returning. Buyers have been constantly rewarded when they took advantage of these folds and so it continues, "he noted.
According to analysts, "the courts seem to have found a floor around $ 85 a barrel.A sustained movement under $ 70 now seems much less likely that progress towards 90 dollars.
Copper, a leading base metals
After profit taking Thursday, the base metals markets are generally started to increase.
Copper shows a striking health, reaching its highest since August 2008 Tuesday to 8010 dollars per ton. Friday's trading at 7,794.50 dollars per tonne on the London Metal Exchange (LME). Since January first, the increase is 6.12% and 81.10% over one year. China is largely the cause of this infatuation. The country engulfed 40% of global demand. The World Copper Conference, held Wednesday and Thursday, has made it the starting point for discussions. According to participants, China should boost demand by 5.4% in 2010. Growth to 12% in the first quarter bodes well for the future.
Nickel also benefits from China's growth through the increase of the steel in the country. The production of stainless steel (two-thirds of nickel consumption) explodes in the country. After crossing the 25,000 dollars per tonne on April 1 (highest level since June 2008 on the LME) prices were around the 24,435 dollars Friday.
In their wake, aluminum climbed to 2,397 dollars per tonne on the LME, its highest level since October 2008. An upward, according to observers, would that point.
Precious metals: palladium in great shape
As for precious metals, gold has had a week of small but can increase to a rise of 2.68% over the last 5 days. Friday, for the first time since January 12, gold has taken the helm of 1150 dollars.After the first auction in London, per ounce in late morning trading at in 1156 dollars (863.009 euros) against 1148 dollars.
For its part, palladium continues upward, reaching its highest level since 2008. Strong growth still driven by the fear of insufficient supply while the automotive market (primary market) leaves. Palladium rating still around $ 500 an ounce.
In the aftermath, platinum is about 1.29% in one week in 1722 dollars an ounce Friday.
Agricultural raw materials: grains fall
Prices of wheat, corn and soybeans continued to fall this week. As expected, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has left its forecast production virtually unchanged in its report released Friday.Thus, world production of wheat for the 2009/2010 marketing year amounted to 678.42 million tonnes (Mt) against 678.01 million tonnes expected this month. Global consumption is raised by 1 Mt to 647.83 Mt, the final inventory at the end of the 2009/10 campaign back to 195.82 million tonnes against 196.77 million tonnes estimated a month ago.
Friday, wheat dropped to 470.75 dollars in Chicago. A bushel of soybeans was $ 9.48 dollars while corn was trading at $ 3.49 a bushel.
On the occasion of a debate in Poland, before an audience of government officials and financiers, the Director General of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Dominique Strauss-Kahn, once is not usually stigmatized the effects of crisis on the cohesiveness of the euro area. Among them, weak institutions with regard to non-compliance with the Stability Pact by the European countries.
"The stability pact is a pact that states must respect and when they have not done what has happened? Nothing, "said former Finance Minister. He added: "The truth is that this crisis shows that when the weather is clement, the existing institutions work well enough. But when a storm occurs, such as the global financial crisis, the weaknesses of these institutions is clear. "
The story of "carrots and big sticks"
To ensure greater coordination of economic policies, Dominique Strauss-Kahn chooses metaphors. "If we really want that European policies are implemented, we have carrots and big sticks. If this does not work, says he. We never saw the stick that would really forced the states to do what they should do and to respect their commitments.
"The euro zone should do the housework" (former Latvian president)
Also present on the occasion of this debate, Vaira Vike-Freiberga, former President of Latvia, went even further cash advance no faxing. "I think the euro area has some cleaning to do at home. This is the priority. Everyone should have the same discipline.It seems that the sufficiency of which we have seen from the example of France and Germany, as regards the deficit, is also part of the problem.
Former Latvian President and deeply regrets that the member countries of the eurozone use the crisis to push the Greek expansion into Eastern Europe. "Straight talk: Member States of the euro area have not met their own rules. If they really respected the rules of the game, they would not be in the mess they are now, "she said. Latvia has set a target of 2014 to adopt the euro.Last year, gross domestic product in Latvia fell by 18%, the sharpest contraction recorded among the 27 members of the European Union.
Poland, for which the IMF p?rvu GDP growth of about 2.75% in 2010 and 3.25% in 2011, received one of the largest loan ever granted by the IMF, a line Credit called "modular" of 15.3 billion euros on which it can draw at any moment. Romania, where Dominique Strauss-Kahn has to go on Tuesday for his part received to date of 9.3 billion euro loan of 12.9 billion made in May 2009.
Normal gas emerging. This seems to be the new motto Aschenbroich Jacques, head of the automotive supplier Valeo. In an interview with Echos on Thursday, it announced a turnaround strategy that would push the group to increase the share of investment in these countries in two thirds of the total against 50% today. In his sights: China, India, South East or Turkey. "In 2013, automobile production in mature countries is less than or equal to the pre-crisis and we have the capacity to meet demand," justify "he said. This operation therefore tantamount to "minimize their investment in mature countries.
Jacques Aschenbroich sweeping indictment of any future relocation. "Valeo produces much more in France than it sells. And our research and development is mainly based in France, "says he.It benefits the transition to dent the French model: "What strikes me is that in ten years, the average hourly cost of France became higher than in Germany. It is a concern. "
Green energy and transfer program
In addition to this new direction for investment, the director of the OEM plans to put the package on green energy. According to him, "some 70% to 80%" of product lines will be affected. The group plans to focus on "vehicle electrification" or the "micro hybrid".
In this context, Valeo does not separate himself from some activities, after selling its range of weightings for lighthouses: "We are thinking whether we should we produce our own components or purchase them, which could result of disposals in the coming months, "explains Jacques Aschenbroich.The group envisages currently no acquisition, preferring to concentrate on organic growth.
Valeo, which aims a turnover of 10 billion euros in 2013 against 7.5 billion in 2009, also started to restructure its business through the elimination of the eleven branches and the creation of four main poles. A combination of flexibility resulting 600 job cuts on the 52,000 account that the group worldwide.
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The consumption of manufactured goods rose more households in November. After an increase of 2.3% in September and 1% in October, the index has shown quasi-stable -0, 1%, according to figures from INSEE.
Despite this slowdown, "the last quarter will be exceptional," states Dominique Barbet, economist at BNP Paribas. "Already, we can build on 2.3% growth in consumption from October to December, the biggest increase in ten years."
The November figure was supported by strong buying automobiles rose 4.2%. "The household benefit last months of premium breaks down before his scheduled first next January, said Insee.
"Contrary to what one might fear, the car sales have not cannibalized other items of household expenditure," says economist of BNP Paribas.Other sectors, they fell for some, have not fallen sharply.
Spending on equipment housing is growing even if they slow down to 0.2%, against 2.1% in October. "If they keep their spending in electrical and electronic, are households have reduced their spending on furniture," said INSEE.
However, the week of floating balances authorized in November did not save the textiles and leather. Purchases fell 1.8% in November, two months after dynamic (+2.4% in October and 3% in September). Probably because of mild weather that has not prompted the French to equip themselves for the winter.
Limited impact of unemployment
In 2009, INSEE expects a limited increase in consumption of 0.7%, after 0.9% in 2008."Unemployment has not been in France very negative impact on consumption, unlike what happened in other European countries, thanks to measures directed at low income," notes Dominique Barbet.
Consumption is the traditional engine of French growth and growing at a rate of 2 to 2.5% until 2007.
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