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The magazine Wired has signed the death warrant of the Web in September 2010. "The Web is dead," was titled the Bible in a high-tech. Provocative, the statement was intended to signal the end of the exploration of the Internet by a browser (Firefox, Safari, Internet Explorer …) in favor of a consumption of digital content for mobile applications from a smartphone or multimedia tablet.
In the U.S., the consultation of mobile applications already widely prevails (67%) on access to mobile sites (33%) in the heart of Android smartphone users, revealed a study released Friday by the Institute Nielsen.Applications dominate all other uses of the smartphone, representing 56% of the activity of a mobile terminal, as against 19% for email, 15% for calls and … 9% devoted to the Web browser.
This trend has important implications for content publishers. Indeed, they become dependent on the conditions imposed by the guardians of these ecosystems built, defining the rules, the terminal to the platform for downloading through the operating system. Apple, with its IOS and its terminals iPad or iPhone is the most obvious incarnation.The firm at the apple has chosen to abandon the format in favor of Flash HTML5 – making it unreadable number of animations and videos on the Internet – and imposes conditions of payment (30%) to content providers who sell subscriptions or applications from its platform.
The "surf neutrality"
Google, Motorola, now has the means to replicate this model of vertical integration. He recalled the "walled garden" (walled gardens) built in the early hours of the Web by companies such as AOL and CompuServe. These providers offer their subscribers a selection of content offered Pardes partners, before gradually breaking down barriers and open wide to the Web world.
The return of the closed logic could push regulators to question certain practices.It happens and a mobinaute seeking to visit a Web site on the iPad, via the Safari browser, it means to be denied access and sent automatically to the mobile application site in question on the App Store. Practices that seem to hinder the freedom of surfing. The "surf neutrality" could well be the new frontier to defend after the "Search neutrality" and Net neutrality.
New black day on Wall Street. After opening in the dark red (-2.19% for the Dow and -3% for the Nasdaq), the New York Stock Exchange closed down a massive. The Dow Jones lost 3.68% to 10,990.58 points and the Nasdaq was unscrewed from 5.22% to 2380.43 points.
The New York Stock Exchange, which has already ended the session on Wednesday on a very hesitant, was weighed down by fears of contagion from the crisis of European debt to U.S. banks and the threat of a relapse of economy after disappointing figures on the employment front in the United States. Symbol of this fear on the recovery, oil finished down 6% in New York, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery ended at 82.38 dollars.
In Europe, stock markets have been driven into the red, pulled down by banking shares.The markets are worried about the global economic downturn, following the release of retail sales increased very slightly in Britain.
Morgan Stanley is concerned about global growth
Morgan Stanley also lowered its growth forecast of the global economy for the years 2011 and 2012, the revision is stronger for developed countries. In a note published Thursday, the U.S. investment bank now expects growth in global gross domestic product (GDP) of 3.9% in 2011, against 4.2% previously and 3.8% in 2012, instead 4.5%.
The bad mood is compounded by a series of important indicators in the U.S. on Thursday and go in the direction of a faltering economic recovery.
First bad news earlier this afternoon with the weekly jobless claims: The Labor Department reported a larger increase than expected last week. They reach 408,000 registrations, against 399,000 the previous week. Economists on average had expected 400,000. The consumer prices have in turn increased more than expected in July (0.5%), driven by the rebound in gasoline prices.
The index of the Philadelphia Fed, the "Philly Fed" came out in very sharp decline in August, well below expectations. It plunged to -30.7 in August from 3.2 in July, while the consensus of analysts expected a slight rebound to 3.7.He thus reached its lowest level since March 2009.
The U.S. index of leading indicators, however, increased more than expected in July to a record high, due to growth in money supply and a decline in jobless claims, the Conference Board said Thursday.
Finally, existing home resales fell contrary to expectations: they were down 3.5% in July, while analysts expected a 3.8% increase, according to figures from the NAR.
New record for gold
In terms of raw materials, while the stock markets fall, gold has reached a new record on Thursday: an ounce of the precious metal rose to 1816.25 dollars on the spot market. Oil markets, prices opened down sharply in New York, the new access affected in a bad mood.To 15 hours (French time), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery was trading at 85.02 dollars, down 2.56 dollars compared to the previous day.
On the currency markets, the euro lost some ground against the dollar, struggling to find direction in a sluggish market and cautious with the release of U.S. indicators and always weighed down by the debt crisis in the eurozone. At the close of Wall Street, the euro bought 1.4345 dollars against 1.4428 dollars late Wednesday.
Values of the day
Hewlett-Packard, which published its results before the scheduled time (turnover of 31.2 billion, in line with expectations) and resulted in a trading halt, announced it was negotiating the purchase of Autonomy Corp., a transaction by Bloomberg estimated 10 billion dollars. It envisages the other to separate its computer division, its largest business, but less profitable.It also abandons the tablet touchpad.
NetApp declined by 14.04% in early trade to 35.81 dollars. The group missed the consensus for its first quarter of fiscal 2012, with a turnover of 1.46 billion, against $ 1.51 billion expected by analysts. The net decrease of $ 150.7 million to $ 139.5 million
The communications systems equipment supplier JDS Uniphase (-12.81% to 10.20 dollars) has reported a net quarterly profit of $ 9.3 million, or 4 cents per share against 1.5 million the last year. It provides a low turnover in respect of its first quarter due to adverse economic conditions, but is optimistic in view of its order book.
Coca-Cola (-2.14% to 67.80 dollars) will invest four billion dollars more in China between 2012 and 2014, reported Thursday the New China News Agency, quoting the CEO of the world's leading soft drinks.
Sears Holdings (-8.16% to 55.23 dollars) reported a higher loss than expected in the second quarter, sales were weak and the promotions have started margins.
Ross Stores (-4.86% to 68.31 dollars) has reported a better than expected pofitive the second quarter but is cautious about these results for the rest of the year in a difficult environment.
Dollar Tree (-1.34% to 70.84 dollars) has reported an increase of 22% of its profit in the second quarter.The distributor has revised upwards its forecast for earnings per share (between 3.82 and 3.95 against 3.69 dollars and 3.85 dollars expected in May).
IBM (-4.46% to 163.83 dollars) is one of two candidates vying to buy at Lufthansa subsidiary Lufthansa Systems, the German press reported Thursday. Another potential buyer is the conglomerate Tata Group.
Gap (-5.48% to 15.52 dollars) and Foot Locker (-6% to 17.56 dollars) must publish their results after the close.
American billionaire Warren Buffett wants his share of sacrifice to help America reduce its budget deficit. In an article published in The New York Times, the head of Berkshire Hathaway investment fund called on parliamentarians to raise taxes on Americans with annual incomes exceed a million dollars, and even more taxing those who earn more than ten million dollars per year.
He said it does not hurt to use or for investment, while helping to clean up the country's finances. "Our leaders have called for shared sacrifice, he writes. But when they did ask, they spared me. I checked with my friends to see which mégariches sacrifices they expected payday loans in 1 hour.Them either were not affected. "Warren Buffett has led his small survey: last year's tax rate accounted for 17.4% of its taxable income, while that of 20 workers in his office was between 33% and 41%.
"While the poor and middle class fighting for us in Afghanistan, and while many Americans are struggling to make ends meet, we, the mégariches, continue to benefit from special tax exemptions," says the American billionaire.
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We suspect, given the global economic slowdown taking place, the government would be forced, sooner or later, to revise downward its growth forecast for 2012 (2.25%). But given the very poor GDP figures in the second quarter that were published this morning, one wonders now if the forecasts for 2011 will be held, too.
The government plans to officially 2% growth this year. According to Insee, the carry-over of 2011 (that is to say that France would increase if the activity was stagnant until the end of the year) is 1.4%. From 1.4% to 2% going to have to know the activity a dramatic rebound in the second half, which is far from certain.Balances were mediocre and above all a financial crisis that could fill a strong business investment bodes poorly for consumption and industrial production in the third quarter.
All in a context of slower public investment, fiscal discipline requires. At Bercy, yet it refuses for now to revise down forecasts payday loans guaranteed no fax. But he will have to solve it or risk losing credibility.
Huge consequences
The consequences of the stagnation of GDP in the second quarter are huge: the estimated government deficit to 5.7% of GDP at end 2011 and end 2012 4.6% are threatened. The government has pledged to do everything to achieve this intangible. He has no choice: the slightest deviation will be severely punished by financial markets.
In order to reduce the deficit in 2012 the state was counting on three billion euros in savings in tax loopholes. This figure is outdated. The aim should be 5 billion, at least, to save on niches, according to the general rapporteur of the budget Gilles Carrez. The MP also recommends additional 3 billion of cuts in public spending. Rigor looks for this winter.
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In the wake of Wall Street, the indices showed last green. The U.S. indices were offered a breath of oxygen, the ones who had suffered a Monday night session black. But did not count on the intervention of the Fed, which ended the great rebound: the Central Bank of the United States (Fed) announced Tuesday it would keep its key interest rate near zero " at least until mid-2013 "and that it was considering new stimulus package to help the economy. These ads have been justified by growth 'considerably slower' than expected and risks "have increased".
What investors consolidate their fear that the U.S. economy slow down seriously. Around 20:30, the Dow Jones clawing over 0.04% to 10,814 points, still below 11,000 points, after crossing the water line briefly.The Standard & Poor's 500 and 100 Nadsad, highly volatile, yet amounted respectively to 1.21% and 1.98%, whereas increases were much more frank queqlues minutes before the Fed speaks. The Fed should seek a delicate compromise between indications that reassure investors around the world, and a formulation that is acceptable to the enemies of inflation.
Also very anxious before the meeting with the Fed, the European and Asian stock market finally closed in the red after a session yoyo. In Paris the CAC 40 fell below 3,000 points for the first time since July 2009. But the trend seems to have subsided, the indices being pressed into the green in the afternoon.
Plummeting after the deteriorating U.S. debt rating last Friday, the Dow ended Monday down 5.55%, falling to 10,809.80 and the lowest level in 10 months. It dropped below the 11,000 points for the first time since October. The Nasdaq, dominated by technology, more copiously unscrewed further, down 6.90%. The speech of President Barack Obama yesterday at the meeting, has little reassured the markets, which have severely plummeted, from both sides of the Atlantic. Furthermore, degradation, on Monday, Standard & Poor's, unsecured notes of Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac, organizations refinancing home loans, a, yesterday, still darkened the picture.These organisms probably were punished because of their dependence on the U.S. federal government.
Global oil demand to decrease
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Tuesday lowered its forecast for growth in global demand for crude in 2011, citing deteriorating macroeconomic outlook in most advanced economies. In its monthly report, OPEC reduced its forecast of 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) now and plans for this year growth in global demand of 1.21 million bpd of crude.In financial markets, oil prices were up Tuesday at the opening in New York (13 cents to 81.54 dollars), offering an impressive rebound Oil prices were up Tuesday at the opening New York, offering an impressive rebound after falling to levels seen since September.
Earlier this afternoon, investors are aware of a new better than expected, but still not glorifying to the future of U.S. growth. Productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, fell at an annual rate of 0.3% over the period April to June after falling 0.6% the previous quarter (revised from 1.8%). The market expected it folds down from 0.8% in the second quarter.
Face communication at high risk of the Fed tonight, "it is clear that the average productivity of U.S. companies in the second quarter is very far from the concerns of the market and will go unnoticed" analysts suggest Aurel BGC. Especially since the figure is clearly negative, the victim of an increasingly weakened growth.
The market capitalization of U.S. computer maker Apple has briefly exceeded that of the oil giant ExxonMobbil Tuesday, becoming the most expensive company in the world, said a specialist told AFP. The market capitalization of both groups were around 340 billion dollars in the afternoon in New York, told AFP Volokhine Gregory, head of markets for the company portfolio management Meeschaert New York. That of Apple rose temporarily above that of ExxonMobil to 7:20 p.m..
"Apple against the disadvantaged." The title of the last note on the market shelves DisplaySearch force hardly relate. Competitors of the iPad accumulate disappointments.
Motorola announced last week it sold 440,000 of its shelves Xoom in the last quarter, which is better than expected. But it has revised downward its objectives for 2011. He no longer expects to sell 2 million in the year, but between 1.3 million and 1.5 million. Even though Motorola has introduced an offer to pay 100 euros for the purchase of the tablet, initially at 579 euros. "Apple has set the benchmark price for a tablet of 16 GB Wi-Fi is 499 euros – or dollars – no more," says an analyst. And even at that price, it does not. Motorola is far from the only one to have experienced. Acer has drastically revised its ambitions.Taiwan is now focusing on the annual sales of between 2.5 million and 3 million, far 5 to 7 million initially planned. Others could follow, including RIM. The manufacturer of the BlackBerry Playbook sold 500,000 in one quarter, but sales have slowed rapidly.
The price cuts and promotions of all kinds pose another risk in the market: consumers lose the notion of "fair price".
The tablets could have been a generator margins for manufacturers, but by reviewing their rates too quickly, they may have already lost the opportunity. "Brands and retailers that compete with Apple running after him, and in their desperation, they might be digging their own graves, says a study by DisplaySearch guaranteed payday loans.This gives the impression that these products are not completely finished. "So, with 9 million iPad sold in three months without any price cut, Apple seems unassailable, fumbling away the beginnings of the iPhone and revisions price.
Fade margins
Competition does not, however, weakens. Samsung will launch two new versions of the tablet at the end of the month, the Galaxy Tab 10.1 and the Galaxy Tab 8.9. They will be sold, respectively, to 489 euros and 459 euros for the 16 GB Wi-Fi, exactly the price of an iPad. By choosing a price positioning similar to Apple, Samsung is also taking a big risk in case of commercial failure, it will have little excuse. And while the competition on the market shelves is expected to increase further by year-end.Other players will enter weight, such as Sony and Fujitsu.
Why this craze for tablets, while only Apple seems to succeed at the game? Because more and more industry players are convinced that very quickly supplant the PC shelves in homes. Joseph Reger, CTO of Fujitsu, said he was "convinced that sales of Tablet PCs will exceed those of (netbooks and notebooks) to consumers by 2016." He also said that Amazon could launch a $ 299 tablet: "A consumer could afford them two for the price of a PC." Shelves would meet the main expectations of individuals, more likely to consult the content to create. They therefore prefer the portability and ease of use. Used in any room of the house, they would disappear the concept of office. Saves space in store!
It was expected, it's now official: Michelin has raised its target sales volume of the current year, the prospect of a return of the markets at their own pace before the crisis. On the occasion of the publication of interim results of good quality, the tire giant announced a target of 8% increase in sales volumes in 2011, against a 6.5% increase expected before. "The environment in the second half should be marked by continued market growth at a pace closer to the long-term trends," said the OEM Clermont.
The world's largest tire with Japan's Bridgestone has also confirmed its forecast of growth in operating profit over the full year. In the first half, he totaled 971 million, up 18%.Net income increased it from 32.6% to 667 million euros, a figure above analysts' expectations.
Offset additional costs of raw materials
And over the period, the volume of the Michelin rose 12.6%, supporting the net sales that rose 21% to 10.1 billion euros over the period. The price effect also explains the increase in group sales up 9%.
And the group plans to continue to maintain a policy of raising prices to offset soaring raw materials, mainly the rise in natural rubber. The extra cost of higher commodity prices is estimated at 1.8 billion euros in a full year by the group but should be offset 100% against 80% previously.
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The higher the debt crisis is intensifying and European gold is getting stronger. The metal price has risen late Thursday at a new record of 1594.45 dollars approaching the threshold of 1600 dollars per ounce, still supported by concerns about the debt crisis in the euro zone and the renewed nervousness around indebtedness of the United States. The metal is "overbought in a configuration that is generally followed by a phase correction with profit taking," said Alexandre Taurand, market analyst at XTB France.
Since early July, the Yellow Gold has gained nearly 60 dollars and grew by more than 2% in five days. A craze that is also explained by its role as a refuge for investors wishing to protect themselves against currency volatility, turbulence government bonds and inflation pressures persist.Since the beginning of the month, the disturbing news in the euro area accumulates. Standard & Poor's warned that a draft agreement between Greece and private creditors would be equivalent to a default under its criteria. On Tuesday, the working group to find a solution to save the country from bankruptcy said he did not exclude a more "partial failure" Greek. Moody's lowered the rating of Portugal and the eyes are now to Italy and Spain where the rates of bonds soaring.
Investors are not convinced by the ads of European finance ministers that provide control to prevent contagion. The latter said they were willing to increase the size of the Fund for financial help. They are also considering a "lengthening of maturities of loans" made to give more time to countries in difficulty to repay their debt. But nothing works.Tuesday again, plummeting stock markets in Europe reflected a continuing concern.
All eyes turned to Italy
"Unlike money, which is currently trading on the area of 35.50 dollars an ounce and is a turning point towards lower, gold is playing its role as a refuge and is one of few underlying advantage of the situation, "says Alexandre Taurand.
In his view, two scenarios are emerging now for the precious metal, "If the price settles above the area of 1547.11 dollars, then maybe we would pause in the middle before a new upward impulse to try re-cross the area of 1557 dollars per ounce. In the event that the price of gold were to fall below the 1545 dollars, then we would have a target level of support for 1541 dollars, "said he.But can not decide yet, "there are a lot of uncertainty. Investors are focused on the Italian austerity plan (on which Parliament must decide by by the summer break, ed.) They also monitor the situation in the United States with the vote on the debt ceiling to be held by 2 August. "
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Christine Lagarde keeps its promises and thus confirms the rise of China on the international economic and international. The new executive director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has appointed a Chinese Zhu Min, the Director-General, a third managing director created for the occasion. It will work well alongside a Japanese and an American. The Chinese were far special adviser to Dominique Strauss-Kahn.
At age 58, Min Zhu has a strong resume: he went through the World Bank, the Central Bank of China and Bank of China business establishment. He "brings a wealth of experience in administration, politics and international financial markets, but also strong leadership skills and communication, and an understanding of institutional funds, Christine Lagarde said in a statement.In his capacity as Executive Vice President, he will play a decisive role in our work, in collaboration with other members of my team and myself. "
Elected by the unit of European leaders and the agreement of the United States, Christine Lagarde has focused during his campaign for the highest office of the IMF to receive the support of emerging countries. The latter, in much better shape economically developed countries, intend to carry more weight in the decisions of the IMF, busy to participate in rescue of Greece, Portugal and Ireland.
An Obama adviser appointed
To secure the support of China (3.82% of votes in the IMF), the former French Minister of Economy visits in Beijing, hinted that it could appoint a Chinese by his side.At its inaugural press conference, she said she would continue the policy of his predecessor, Dominique Strauss-Kahn by giving more weight to emerging within the Fund.
Christine Lagarde has not forgotten the former shareholders of the Fund, namely the United States, which were the key to his appointment. She announced that David Lipton, an economic adviser to the White House, take over from his compatriot John Lipsky as Director General."Combining international expertise, experience in public policy and private sector and a strong track record in managing economic crises, David brings to the Fund's long experience in the design of policies and negotiating skills," said Christine Lagarde said.
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Day of truth for Greece on Wednesday. While Athens is on strike yesterday, members are asked to vote for or not an austerity plan for four years. The vote will be followed by a second vote tomorrow on the law enforcement.
The President of the European Union, Herman Van Rompuy, warned Tuesday that the next few hours would be "decisive" for Greece, the euro area and the global economy.
Since yesterday, the U.S. and Asian markets seem optimistic about the outcome of the vote in spite of renewed clashes on Wednesday between protesters and police Greek. Optimism is always de rigueur at the Paris Stock Exchange: the Cac 40 rose 1.32% to 3902.87 points.
As for other European exchanges, the FTSE-100 in London gained 1.01% to 5825.21 points and the Dax in Frankfurt was up 30% 1.23 to 7258.50 points.The FTSE MIB in Milan climbs from 1.60% to 19,765.46 points. The Italian luxury group Salvatore Ferragamo for his first day of trading, taking 8.89% to 9.80 euros in mid-session.
The first quarter growth revised down
On the macroeconomic front, INSEE revised down growth in the first quarter of France at 0.9% against 1% set in mid-May
For the euro area, the confidence index of entrepreneurs and consumers in June fell for the fourth consecutive month. The index fell to 105.1 points, down 0.4 points compared to May.
In the U.S., two indicators are on the agenda: the promise of sale of homes in June (16 hours) and the weekly inventory of crude oil (16.30).
On the corporate side, the banking sector is in good company in this context of optimism surrounding the Greek parliamentary vote.BNP Paribas takes 1.51% to 51.90 euros, Crédit Agricole rose 1.34% to 10.11 euros and Natixis advance of 0.90% to 3.34 euros. Yesterday, banks have earned an average of more than 2%.
Offshore wind: Areva alliance with Iberdrola
Societe Generale: 2.60% to 39.82 euros
The participation of private creditors to the new plan of financial support to Greece to be as fair as possible to increase the chances of success, said CEO of the bank, Frédéric Oudéa, the Senate Public TV.
Values cars respond well to the good performance of Japanese manufacturers on the stock market after the Japanese industrial production confirmed the rebound in April.Renault climbed 1.81% to 40.65 euros and Peugeot is up 1.61% to 30.95 euros.
EDF: 1.88% to 26.79 euros
The energy group confirms its investment in the LNG terminal in Dunkirk, along with Belgian Fluxys and Total.The cost will be borne by EDF to 65% (650 million), 25% Fluxys (250 million) and 10% by Total (100 million).
GDF Suez: 0.93% to 24.34 euros
The gas is in talks to take over the assets of the U.S. company Duke Energy in Latin America, according to the Brazilian business newspaper Valor Economico.
Areva: -0.40% to 25.20 euros
The nuclear group has confirmed that he would ally with the Spanish Iberdrola Renewables on two of the five areas of the tender for offshore wind launched by the state, confirming a report of Echoes.
Ipsos: 3.85% to 32.80 euros
The British advertising group Aegis said to be in exclusive talks with the institute of studies and surveys for the sale of its subsidiary Synovate market research.
Havas: 2.26% to 3.58 euros
In an interview with Echo, the executive director of the group will develop two commercial microarray in the world, one around his BETC teaches French and the other about Arnold, his agency based in Boston.
DS: 1.41% to 58.37 euros
The software developer, a subsidiary of Dassault, owner of the Figaro Group, combined with a subsidiary of American online retailer Amazon to offer a paperless commercial in "cloud computing" (technology that allows a company to dispense servers physically located in its premises), according to a spokesman for the group.
After the close of trading, EuropaCorp will release its results for the year 2010-2011.
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