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Investors reacted to the record deficit released yesterday. The U.S. federal government announced after the close of Wall Street have posted a record budget deficit of 220.909 billion dollars in February, its seventeenth consecutive month in the red, according to figures released Wednesday by the Treasury Department in Washington. At the opening, the Nasdaq 100 and S & P 500 retreat respectively of 0.31% at 2,350 points from 0.24% to 1 143 points. The Dow Jones folds himself from 0.09% at 10,542 points.
The day before the stock markets had closed rather green, but no clear trend.On Wednesday, crude oil inventories rose last week in the U.S., but slightly below estimates, while those of gasoline and distillate products fell sharply, said Wednesday the U.S. Department of Energy ( DoE).
Inflation worries also Chinese
The downward trend is also due on Thursday by the Chinese inflation, which rose sharply. The index of consumer prices in China rose 2.7% yoy in February, bringing its rise since the beginning of the year at 2.1%. But to avoid a runaway, Beijing has already begun to tighten credit flowing.
Earlier this week, the employment numbers came out less bad than expected but the labor market remains very weak low fee payday loans . The unemployment rate remained steady at 9.7%, consistent with him, forecasts.
The rest of the week market in the United States will be under the sign consumer with the publication tomorrow of the sales details for the month of February and the preliminary estimate of consumer confidence.
General Motors will pay $ 8 billion
The values listed, General Motors will pay about $ 8 billion in the United States and Canada by June, ahead of schedule. The group observed a recovery in profitability faster than expected according to its director general.
Google (+0.34%) 578.4 dollars) still enjoys the presentation by Cisco (-0.36% to 25.8 U.S. dollars) in its new router, it will provide increased flows to households A key element for the activity distribution of video on the web from Google.
McDonald's has confirmed again and again his leadership.The giant U.S. fast food announced earlier this week that its worldwide sales rose 4.8% in February with a jump of 10.5% in Asia. The titles are perfectly balanced in the first exchanges.
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The French group displays and street furniture, JCDecaux, released on Thursday its sales in 2009, amounting to 1, 92 billion euros, down 11.5% compared to 2008.
This figure reflects the sharp drop in advertising business, the more cyclical activity of the group and the only fully established in Europe. She has indeed recorded a decline in organic sales of 16.1%. Activities Furniture Urban Transport and proved somewhat more resistant, their respective sales down 12.1% to 934 million euros and 6.3% to 589.6 million euros. Organic growth at constant scope and exchange rates, amounted to -10.9%, while the group expected a decline of 12.5%.
"The reduction in advertising budgets and a strong pressure on prices led to a decline in global advertising market, including internet, expected around 10%," said Jean-Francois Decaux, CEO and Co-CEO JCDecaux.
2009 the worst year since 1964
The annual report for France, compiled Wednesday by Kantar Media Institute, revealed growth "historically low" advertising market (+1.4%), outdoor (posters and street furniture) is the medium most affected (-8.7%).
In the fourth quarter, sales fell by 7.2% to 561.6 million euros. A perimeter and constant exchange rates the growth was -4.9%.
"2009 is undoubtedly the toughest year that JCDecaux has faced since the inception of the company in 1964, said Jean-Francois Decaux instant payday loan . The reduction in advertising budgets and a strong pressure on prices led to a decline in global advertising market, including on-line, expected around 10%.
Sales in Asia and North America most resistant
Europe, excluding France and the United Kingdom, presented a decrease in turnover from 16.7% to 650.9 million euros. La France has decreased its turnover by 8.7%, despite a difficult advertising environment and a strong performance in 2008 (organic growth of 4.8%).
The United Kingdom is the area that experienced the largest decline in fiscal 2009 (-25.5%), improving economic conditions, however, clearly in the fourth quarter. Asia-Pacific and North America have been stronger with declines of 6.7% to 300.9 million euros and 6.5% to 146.2 million euros.
"The group has benefited in the fourth quarter with a slight recovery in advertising spending and increased its exposure to emerging markets. The more positive view of advertisers found on some markets in September, seems to continue in the first quarter of this year. This allows us to be, for now, confident in the ability of JCDecaux to reach a rate of positive organic growth in the first quarter of 2010, "concludes Jean-François Decaux.
The annual results 2009 JC Decaux will be published pre-market March 10, 2010.
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Expenses related to health care, absenteeism, business closures and premature death: the National Institute for Research and Safety and the School of Arts and Crafts feel that the cost of stress at work has reached 1.9 to 3 billion euros in France in 2007. "An evaluation minimum, the study did not take into account only one stressor," the combination of strong pressure on (the tasks performed at rapid rates and subject to deadlines) and a lack of autonomy in carrying out the work. " This would represent a third of cases of stress, excluding for example the lack of support or recognition. Moreover, only cardiovascular disease, depression and musculo-skeletal disorders have been identified as diseases resulting from stress.
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The United Kingdom is concerned that a boomerang effect will weaken his come back. On January 1, VAT is in fact rise to 17.5%, having been exceptionally lowered to 15% for a year to boost consumption. Economists from the Center for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) think again increase the VAT rate could be "stalling a recovery in its infancy."
The Center for Economic Research, which called in July 2008 a decrease of 5% tax, advance that have prolonged the VAT at 15% until July 2010. Joerg Radeke, economist at CEBR, said that the consumer will still need a boost in the first half. Inflation should indeed start rising, exceeding the 3%, which should lead to a decrease of 0.7% of household spending.In 2010, consumption would fall by 0.2%, according to economist.
The test balances
The effects of the rise in VAT rates could soon be visible through balances. If the high shopping season has started on the Bleeding Edge, economists fear it is only a deadweight, consumers rushing to the shelves before the tax goes back to 17.5 %. "They certainly have some early purchases in November and December," Analysis Caroline Newhouse-Cohen, senior economist at BNP Paribas.
The decline in consumption expected in early 2010 should still be written off by the pricing of retail giants such as Tesco. The largest British retail group has decided not to pass on the rising rate of VAT on certain non-food products.This should enable consumers to save another 12 million pounds (13.4 million euros), according to the distributor. The Sainsbury and Home Retail, among others, have also decided to sacrifice their margins.
Beneficial effects difficult to measure
In total, Jörg Radeke the CEBR believes that the rise in VAT rates, premature, and likely to "wipe out most of the benefits had been reduced fee. Still, it is difficult to estimate what were these "benefits" in 2009. According to the CEBR, reduced VAT rates contributed 0.5% to growth of British GDP.
The effect has not been miraculous. While passing the reduced rate, in the first quarter of 2009, "Private consumption fell 1.5% from fourth quarter of 2008, after a similar decline over the previous period," said Caroline Newhouse-Cohen.A decrease which stabilized until July. But economists agree that even if the measure has cost 4.3 billion pounds (4.8 billion euros) to the Treasury, the economic situation would have been worse without it.
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Christine Lagarde put an end to speculation. On leaving the Council of Ministers on Wednesday, Minister of Economy announced that the bonuses paid in France by the banks for the year 2009 will be taxed at 50% from 27,500 euros. The France decides to follow the same model announced last week by the British government.
"This is a proposal had been President of the Republic August 25 last, much has campaigned for it to be internationally accepted. Now a British proposal and French and I will defend to Parliament in January, "said the minister.
Christine Lagarde also suggested that this "tax exceptional exceptional circumstances" would not be renewed. Information that had already been raised in the common platform of Nicolas Sarkozy and Gordon Brown, published by the Wall Street Journal.The measure should be included in a draft supplementary budget.
According Bercy, between 2,000 and 3,000 traders will be affected.
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Turbulence, again, for the U.S. economy yesterday, the Financial CIT Group, a key player in SME finance – with more than one million customers – said he put himself under the protection of Bankruptcy Law. The figures speak for themselves: the extent of ILC assets are valued at about five billion dollars, it is the fifth largest bankruptcy in history of the United States. After those of Lehman Brothers (2008), Washington Mutual (2008), WolrdCom (2002), and General Motors (2008). However, CIT said in a statement that the process concerns only the parent, who hopes to reduce its debt of 10 billion dollars. The agencies of CIT and its subsidiaries should be able to continue operating. The group's difficulties have sharply accelerated in July.After having already injected 2.3 billion dollars in December, Washington has refused this time to rescue CIT.
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