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The U.S. stock market should be reluctant to take on the leadership on Monday. The index futures are predicting a slight decline in opening of U.S. markets. The index futures Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell back in effect respectively by 0.13% to 1099.50 points from 0.04% to 1873.10 points.
On Friday, the NYSE has ended sharply higher, buoyed by another round of quarterly results from U.S. companies of good quality and were reassured on the results of resistance testing in European banks. The Dow Jones gained 0.99% and the Nasdaq 1.05%. On the whole last week, the Dow Jones gained 3.23% and the Nasdaq rose 4.15%.
On the foreign exchange market, the euro steadied against the dollar. In the morning, it was worth 1.2901 dollars against 1.2906 dollars on Friday.
A busy week on the macroeconomic level.Today investors expect the sales figures for new housing. Another highlight, the U.S. central bank should publish its Beige Book Wednesday on the economic conditions. It will be very guarded while the president of the institution, Ben Bernanke said Wednesday before Congress the slow recovery, with no announcement of new funding in the economy.
On Tuesday, it is the Standard & Poor's / Case Schiller home prices and consumer confidence, which will be followed, before investors only look the next day on orders of durable goods. But it was the day Friday with the first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) U.S. second quarter to be expected this week.This new burst of publications should be especially followed when investors are questioning again on the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.
U.S. companies are still likely to take stock in their accounts this week, including the program six companies forming part of Dow Jones. Tomorrow investors expect such figures CIT and Lockheed Martin and those sitting in the middle of DuPont.
To follow today the title of BP traded on Wall Street. The British press refers to a departure from the CEO of BP, before tomorrow, the date of publication of interim results of the oil giant.
Always on the side of values, General Electric said Friday its increased dividend of 20%, the quarterly dividend from 10 cents to 12 cents. GE also announced a resumption of its share repurchase programs.He had stopped this practice in September 2008. The board gave its approval for an additional $ 11.6 billion. "GE hopes to end the year with $ 25 billion in cash, including proceeds from the sale of a majority stake in its subsidiary NBC Universal to Comcast" say the analysts at Aurel BGC. Some of this money will be used to buy three billion dollars in preferred shares that the group has sold the holding company Berkshire Hathaway of Warren Buffett in October 2008.
Also note Friday night, the FDIC, the federal agency whose primary responsibility is to guarantee bank deposits, announced the bankruptcy of six new American banks, bringing to 102 the number of closing establishments since the beginning of year. These six failures will cost about 394 million dollars to its compensation fund the FDIC.
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The official trading hours may be difficult for Amazon Friday. In after market trading Thursday, the securities are traded on the internet provider declined by almost 15% to 102.55 dollars. After the official closure of Wall Street, Amazon has posted results that disappointed investors.
Of course, earnings rose 45% for its second quarter to 207 million or 45 cents per share. But analysts had predicted earnings of 53 cents per share.As for sales, Amazon will display a turnover of 6.57 billion, exceeding expectations (6.54 billion).
Operating profit rose 71% to 270 million but there is also far from the consensus (320 million estimated).
For the current quarter, Amazon provides billings between 6.9 and 7.6 billion dollars of bad credit payday advance. The operating profit should be between 210 and 310 million showing a margin of 3 to 4% The analysts' estimates were much higher: 361 million expected to be a margin of 5%.
In a statement, Jeff Bezos, founder and CEO of the site says, "We see rapid growth in sales of Kindle, Amazon web services, sales to third parties and retail.""Over the last twelve months, customers worldwide have ordered from their mobile device for over $ 1 billion worth of Amazon," says Jeff Bezos still, he was confident in the potential of Tablet PCs, like the Kindle or the 'iPad, to "become a vehicle extra" sales.
The entries of migrants to OECD countries declined by 6% in 2008, dropping to 4.4 million people. While in the previous five years, their numbers had increased by 11% per year on average, according to the latest OECD report on migration. The decline was further strengthened in 2009. The immigrants were, in many countries, the first hit by rising unemployment, particularly youth and those working in the sectors most affected by the crisis such as construction or hospitality.
OECD urges in this report on the need for States to strengthen their immigration policies which will play a crucial role in the long term to enhance growth."It is important to note that immigrants make a positive contribution to the national economy, especially in times of growth," remarks the Secretary General Angel Gurria free credit report.
And because of demographic changes and shortages of future employment, especially in health and engineering. Thus, maintaining immigration rates at their current level, the population of working age in OECD countries will increase by only 1.9% in the next decade. A percentage that contrasts with the 8.6% recorded between 2000 and 2010. The situation is even worse for France, which will decline by 1%, despite good numbers of births. The reason is that France has one of the highest immigration rate lowest in the OECD.
Click on the thumbnail to enlarge the graphics.
The successful launch of the iPad has sparked a fierce price war among manufacturers of digital tablets. For fifteen days, one after the other, manufacturers revise their prices downwards to counter the shock wave of the iPad. Most recently, Sony announced on Wednesday reduced prices of its readers to 20-50 dollars depending on the model. Its entry-level player, the Pocket Edition is now available at $ 149 U.S. instead of $ 169. Last week, the online bookstore Amazon was the first to respond, bringing the price of its Kindle reader digital format (DX) to 379 dollars, down from $ 110 …! At the same time, Amazon increased the comfort of reading his DX improving its display."With improved contrast of 50% and a darker font, it will be easier than ever to read anywhere, outside in the sun or the low light of the show, welcomed Steve Kessel, an official of Amazon. A few days earlier, the retailer had already created a stir by lowering the $ 60 price of its best-selling player, the average size at $ 189 … The same day, his rival, the American bookseller Barnes & Noble brought the price reader's Nook of 259-199 dollars, and announced a more affordable version yet, to 149 dollars, but connectable only by wireless Internet (Wi-Fi).
Run size
These manufacturers have little choice. Faced with the shock of the trade-iPad more than 3 million copies sold-June 22, they must adjust their rates to stay in the race.Unable to keep the same price range as the iPad (500 euros) which, aside from reading, surfing the Internet, listening to music, watch movies or videos, etc.. From a color touch screen . Faced with the branding of Apple Premium, the price argument remains the only real leverage at their disposal, apart from adding some features (touchscreen, color, play MP3 music files, etc..) . "In the race for size, market share, the price factor is one that can make the difference as shown by the positioning of Dell with its multimedia tablet Streak marketed in late July and announced at least 100 euros" Sylvain Duranton remark, associate director at Boston Consulting Group.
Price also depends on the conversion market niche in the mass market."As long as prices do not fall sufficiently, widespread adoption of such devices will be difficult," says the expert. A psychological threshold must be reached. "Based on our studies, if 66% of French people are ready to go nuclear, they will not do at any price: not more than 150-200 euros for a multi-shelf as iPad and more than 100 euros for a single-function tablet, reserved for reading, as the Kindle. "
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This will ultimately alone as General Motors, the American auto giant, will assume the restructuring of its German subsidiary Opel. The German manufacturer has indeed withdrawn all applications for public aid claimed to European countries where it operates.
General Motors has "decided to resolve funding issues internally," the group said in a statement after the plea of inadmissibility raised by Berlin to its requests for government guarantees.
"The process is much more complex and much longer than expected," justified the manufacturer, which hopes to "implement quickly (his) plan."
In fact, the German manufacturer is found almost in the situation in November 2008, just before it calls the first time the German government to help paydayloans."General Motors is making a profit and has the capacity" to restructure its subsidiary, has reaffirmed the German Minister of Economy, Rainer Brüderl, who feels "comforted in (its) decision" not to help Opel.
Opel employs approximately 25,000 employees in Germany and it is expected 3,900 job cuts.
So far, Opel refused to consider funding 100% of restructuring by its parent, noting that it had recovered by the U.S. taxpayers' money, she could spend outside the U.S. USA.
"General Motors has demonstrated clear and put an end to speculation and uncertainty for employees," said the chairman of Opel's works council, Klaus Franz, said in a statement.
The CAC 40 index which comprises the forty largest capitalization of the Paris market, will be 41 values within one day, Friday, July 2, with the division of the Accor group, said in a statement Friday the exchange operator NYSE Euronext.
Accor, which is part of the CAC 40 will separate into two entities, one containing the name Accor hotels and gathering activities, and the other called Edenred, representing the prepaid services industry (Ticket Restaurant, gift cards bad Credit payday advance ..).
On July 2, two new groups will therefore part of the CAC 40 Edenred do so before the index feature of Parisian place before the opening of the meeting of Monday, July 5, said NYSE Euronext.
The general meeting to approve the demerger will take place June 29, days before the listing of the two entities.
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New waves of turbulence on Thursday on European equity markets. At 2:35 p.m., the CAC 40 yielded 3.10% at 3403.06 points, in a transaction volume of more than 3 billion euros. The London Stock Exchange lost 2.04% at the same time, while the German Dax loose 2.41%. Already very tight, investors have been demoralized by a poor U.S. statistics: registrations are weekly unemployment rose against all odds, for the first time since early April in the U.S. during the week of May 15, at 471 000 446 000 cons the previous week, according to the Labor Department.
The euro goes down quickly and found $ 1.23, after having taken the day 1.5% up to 1.2414 dollar. The rebound came after the sharp decline of the single currency in the night from Tuesday to Thursday, which has pushed the euro to a new four year more, to 1.2144 dollar.
In Paris banking stocks pull the index up. Credit Agricole rises from 1.17% to 9.49 euros and signed the largest increase in the index. Societe Generale gained 1.62%, 36.40 euros and BNP Paribas, 2.1% to 47.23 euros.
According to Finance Minister Christine Lagarde, the euro is not "in danger". His German counterpart, said this morning in the Financial Times that he considers the markets "really out of control" and advocates more regulation.
Several statistical significance Thursday
In Germany, producer prices rose 0.8% in April, official data showed on Thursday.In one year, they recorded a rise of 0.6%.
In the U.S., the composite indicator of economic activity for the month of April and industrial activity in the Philadelphia area in May are still awaited by the operators No teletrack payday loans.
Air France: record loss
On the CAC 40, a single value in the red: Arcelor Mittal, which lost 1.21%, to 24.49 euros.On the SBF 120, it appears as Soitec the red lantern (-6.64% to 8.84 euros): the producer of silicon on insulator for the semiconductor industry has confirmed its forecast return to operating breakeven this year, Concentrix off after a current operating loss reduced during the second half of 2009-2010.
In addition, Air France-KLM (+0.06% 9.61 euros) confirmed anticipate a return to operational balance in 2010-2011 after posting record losses after an exercise she calls it himself as "annus horribilis." Franco Dutch airline, which renounces propose an annual dividend, also undergoes an early exercise sealed by the eruption of the Icelandic volcano Eyjafjöll.
Credit Agricole (1.17% to 9.49 euros) was no surprise on Wednesday confirmed the appointment of Jean-Marie Sander as his successor Rene Carron as president of the bank, marking the arrival of a new tandem leaders the head of the listed vehicle of mutual group.
Sanofi-Aventis (0.90% to 30 euros): Brazil has given the green light to redeem Medley by the pharmaceutical company for 500 million euros.
The Board of Directors and the two main shareholders of Sperian have agreed to repurchase the company specialized in personal protective equipment by the industry group American Honeywell for $ 1.4 billion. The shares are still suspended from trading.
Are expected date general meetings of CIC, Carbone Lorraine, Thales, Rexel, Eramet and Suez Environment.
For the first time, the United States, Americans will have a smart card (smart card to the French) and "accepted in the world. It Gemalto.
A contract which seems small in relation to the size of the division payment at Gemalto.But "this announcement is very important symbolically," noted analysts at Natixis, surprised that the stock price does not react.
For the group at 1.65 billion euros in turnover in 2009 made his first steps on American soil that could well decide to finally initiate the transition from magnetic stripe cards – which are the subject of a high fraud rates – to smart cards adopting EMV (Europay, MasterCard, Visa) to pay around the world and securely.
For the strategists of Natixis, the bank card market with a microprocessor in the United States has "a potential 1.5 billion cards.
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The daily Les Echos published on Wednesday, unpaid bills accumulate on the offices of the Directorate General of Armaments. The culprit is the new system of accounting and financial state, Chorus, whose launch has caused many problems: "Taking the data files completely missed, parameterization of the software too rigid, inadequate training of agents, all full reform of the armed … "reports and Voices, which speaks of several million euros unpaid, or even one billion.
Being launched in all central and decentralized administrations, the application Chorus aims to simplify the governance and implement the provisions of the Organic Law on Financial Legislation passed in 2001 make quick cash.
But for now, the goal is far from being reached at the Department of Defense.According to Les Echos, a delegation of French industrial land defense at Bercy reported that unpaid bills put some SMEs in significant difficulties. A special circuit was established to regularize the accounts with the weaker companies. But the return to normalcy would not be expected before the end of the year …
Greece, Portugal and Spain. Southern Europe continues to frighten the markets. The Spanish saw its debt rating one notch worse, with a negative outlook.
Between degradation rate and retention Note
During a joint press conference yesterday, Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank, and Dominique Strauss-Kahn, director of the International Monetary Fund, have called on Germany to take an expeditious decision on aid Greece. Both men say they are confident. German Chancellor Angela Merkel seems he heard the message, since it has declared its intention to activate "as quickly as possible" aid plan.
Fortunately, a decision from the United States has been somewhat reassure financial markets. The Fed has indeed confirmed keep interest rates low for a "prolonged period". And this, despite a rapid recovery of the economy.In this context, the Paris markets are cautious. Around 10:30 am, the CAC 40 rose 0.52% to 3806.81 points. At the London Stock Exchange, the FTSE-100 gained 0.55% to 5617.19 points, the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, the DAX 30 in advance from 0.30% to 6102.59 points.
After two sessions of sharp declines, the bank stocks are returning to earnings. BNP Paribas gained 1.55% to 51.77 euros, Dexia advance of 1.22% to 4.15 euros and Societe Generale was up 0.45% to 41.10 euros. In contrast, Credit Agricole, which said Wednesday night that its exposure to sovereign risk in Greece amounted to EUR 850 million, lost 0.32% to 11.02 euros.
CAC 40: Pernod-Ricard in mind, PPR red lantern
Among the values that have posted Wednesday, PPR has returned to growth in the first quarter after five consecutive quarters of downturn, and said Tuesday anticipate a further acceleration in sales during the year. However, PPR shares fell sharply from 2.65% to 101.20 euros, the biggest drop in the CAC 40.
The Thursday is rich in quarterly publications: ArcelorMittal (-1.80% to 30.58 euros) reported a net profit decline of 36.6% in first quarter 2010 over fourth quarter 2009.
France Telecom (1.44% 16.57 EUR) has published a turnover down 2% in the first quarter of 2010, in line with market expectations.
The result of Sanofi-Aventis (-0.67% to 51.53 euros) rose 9.7% to 2.4 billion euros in first quarter 2010 against a consensus of 2.28 billion euros.
Bull (0.62% to 3.23 euros) saw its sales boosted by the acquisition of Amesys, a company specializing in security systems: its sales rose 9.4% against 0.6 % off-Amesys.
Pernod Ricard has announced an increase of 14% of its turnover for the third quarter of 2010 of its fiscal year 2009-2010 to offset 1.5 billion euros.Pernod Ricard shares climbed 3.70% to 65.32 euros, the largest increase in the CAC 40.
The results of Vivendi (0.87% to 19.61 euros), AXA (-0.89% at 15.01 euros), Bouygues (0.60% to 36.89 euros), Areva (-1, 32% to 375 euros) or Michelin (-0.38% to 52.30 euros) are also expected.
Renault (-1.47% to 34.24 euros) has announced the acquisition of interests between the group, its Japanese partner Nissan and Germany's Daimler had been made Wednesday. The three groups have formalized their alliance in early April for three to share technologies and reduce costs.
The U.S. unemployment statistics in the heart of the day
On the macroeconomic front, the day will, however, less responsible.By midmorning, the German Federal Labour Office has reported a decline of 68,000 in the number of jobseekers in seasonally adjusted data, to 3.285 million, while economists were expecting an average decline of 10,000. Around 14:30, the investors will also monitor the weekly claims for unemployment benefits in the United States, and economic confidence in April in the euro area.
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