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The Paris Bourse is trying to make a new step forward. After three sessions of rise, the CAC 40 opened down. He then went up the slope ahead of 1.04% to 3058 points mid-session.
Operators welcome the announcements of leading finance ministers of the euro zone, Jean-Claude Juncker, made in the night. The latter warned that the Financial Assistance Fund (EFSF) would reach "probably not" the one trillion euros, as had been promised after the crisis summit last October. "The conditions have changed" in the financial markets, he said.
The euro area is turning to the IMF, whose resources should be increased "through bilateral loans" to the institution of Washington "could have adequately the same firepower as the EFSF and cooperate with him in an even closer, "said Jean-Claude Juncker credit reports free.In the process, BNP Paribas advance of 0.91%, 1.44% of Credit Agricole and Societe Generale 0.38.
Laurent-Perrier (4.96% to 68.75 euros)
The group announced on Wednesday champagne avoirtriplé profit in the first half of fiscal year 2011-2012 (ending September 30) through its exports and that he intends to remain cautious about the whole year because of economic context.
Publicis (-0.06% to 33.34 euros)
Maurice Levy, 69, was extended for four years as Chairman of the Corporate Executive Board advertising.
Bouygues (-0.36% to 23.30 euros)
The construction group Bouygues said Wednesday it has awarded two contracts for a combined total of nearly 160 million euros for the construction of residential buildings in Singapore.
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"The European economic recovery was interrupted." The verdict of the European Commission, which presented on Thursday its autumn forecasts for 2011-2013, is categorical. According to Brussels, all signals of the economy are red. "The sharp drop in confidence hinders investment and consumption, while the slowdown in global growth reduces export and fiscal consolidation to operate emergency weigh on domestic demand." Accordingly, the Institution provides a low growth for the EU in 2012, about 0.6% against 1.9% forecast last spring. In the euro area, GDP is expected to show a slight increase of 0.5%.
The return to growth, albeit slow, is scheduled for 2013 (1.3% in euro area and 1.5% in the EU). Unless additional shock …
Italy does approach the point of no return? Some finance ministers could not help looking up to heaven on Tuesday, after a new camera in Brussels, while two indicators concern for the future of the single currency were turning to red: the level interventions of the ECB to calm the markets and the cost at which borrows the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), which constitutes the first line of defense if Italy were to switch after Greece, Portugal and Ireland.
The ministers of the euro seems to have learned anything from their Italian counterpart Giulio Tremonti, who came to Brussels to plead the cause of a Berlusconi government now condemned. "Markets drink the cup for a week, but Rome means the same song," laments a spokesman. Italy, in turn, "enters the vicious circle", continues a senior official.On another front to defend the euro, the EFSF has faced 104 basis points above the rate paid on its debt (3.59%) to place its 3 billion euros of bonds. The bailout fund retains its AAA, but it seems already sealed by the ball Italian. "The cordon sanitaire erected around Greece is showing signs of collapse, 'says a senior official.
Specter of a meltdown
The establishment of the famous "firewall", arrested Oct. 26 at the top of the euro, was precisely the issue of the appointment of the Eurogroup in Brussels. After the political decision, it remains to fill the coffers of the EFSF new way: European budgets are already in the grip and large foreign investors reluctant to buy its bonds in an atmosphere poisoned by the specter of a collapse in Italy.
EU summit, the first act. The leaders of the EU started in Brussels on Sunday morning a summit with the goal of trying to overcome their differences on how to stem the debt crisis that is destabilizing the euro area. The meeting began around 10:20. However, no decision is expected at the end of the summit of which the second act is expected Wednesday. This afternoon, the summit will continue with a meeting of Heads of State of 17 countries in the euro area.
Europe is facing economically to "serious challenges", said President of the European Union, Herman Van Rompuy, at the opening of the meeting. He believed that the decisions to be taken by European leaders to address was "perhaps the most important" they've ever had to face the financial crisis.Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, also felt it was "time" to take "decisive and effective." "It is clear that the crisis (debt) is not Greek. This is a European crisis, "he judged.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel, however, dampened expectations about the outcome of the summit, from the outset, reaffirming that decisions could be taken next week. "For me it is important to reiterate that today we prepare the decisions of Wednesday" because the negotiations are about "subjects sometimes technically very complex, she said on her arrival in Brussels.
"You have to reassure the markets"
For its part, the Belgian Prime Minister Yves Leterme has tried hard not announce anything at all on Sunday, in light of market pressure."It is essential for tomorrow morning at the opening of markets, we have made sufficient progress so as not to jeopardize the credibility of the euro area," he said. Same story for the European partners have not adopted the single currency, which are concerned about the fallout from the debt crisis. "The crisis in the euro area is being extended to all our economies, including that of Great Britain ', launched the British Prime Minister David Cameron.
What response to the crisis the Europeans do they negotiate? This response is intended in three stages guaranteed cash advance. It must first stabilize the over-indebted Greece and save him a total failure. This will require further international loans and losses of creditor banks in the country. Europe the figure to at least 50%.According to the report of the troika (representatives of the EU, the ECB and the IMF), the discount should be 60% to maintain unchanged the envelope of € 109 billion promised to Greece, as part a second rescue plan officially recorded on July 21. "We remain willing to explore options on a voluntary basis [for each facility, Ed] and realistic prospects for the economy of Greece and the return of that country on the capital markets," said Charles Dallara Saturday night , the president of the Institute of International Finance (IIF), which brings together major global banks.
In return, a bank recapitalization is provided. Countries of the European Union discussed a budget from 107 to 108 billion euros at the meeting of finance ministers on Saturday night.
Finally, we must strengthen the Financial Assistance Fund for the euro area countries in difficulty, the EFSF, firewall against the contagion to Italy and Spain. But differences remain on how to do this, especially between France and Germany. Yesterday, the French proposal to grant a banking license in EFSF was discarded. Only two options are being discussed to increase the firepower of the device: the mechanism acts as a partial insurance of the public debt of troubled countries or the IMF is expected to increase its participation in the scheme.
For the summit this Sunday, German Chancellor and French President had also met Saturday night to try to resolve their differences, following a meeting of EU finance ministers. They both welcomed the "progress" and "advanced" made in the negotiations.
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From our special correspondent in London this small affable man with a mustache in suit and tie eight months ago was still at the heart of the Libyan regime of Colonel Gaddafi. Chokri Ghanem presided over the national oil company, NOC, key partner for foreign producers. Yesterday and Tuesday, Ghanem was in London one of the guest stars of the annual Oil & Money ("Oil and Money"). For in the oil industry, the former Libyan dignitary has always enjoyed a reputation as a respectable career.
Prime Minister of the Guide, he was the architect of the return of Libya in the comity of nations before being dismissed in 2006. He had the good sense to defect in May, and moved between Vienna (OPEC headquarters where he has long represented his country) and London.It was at Vienna that Chokri Ghanem was the guardian of one of Gaddafi son, Seif al-Islam, which was regarded as before the rebellion, modernization.
With this pedigree, the diagnosis of Ghanem on the prospects for black gold in Libya was carefully listened to by the cream together oil on the edge of Hyde Park. He said Libya will not return to its level of production before the war (about 1.6 million barrels per day) prior to eighteen months while the production may rise to 350,000 barrels a day currently to 500,000 in the coming weeks .
Workers protest
More than massive destruction, looting Ghanem evokes parts and piping of oil installations. Two thousand and 4×4 have gone, stolen by the rebels or simply stolen. But the main problem, according to the former official, is the lack of security of oil fields.Added a new unimaginable before the war: the oil workers increasing protests and claims.
A fellow Ghanem, Abdallah Salem el-Badri, the current Secretary General of OPEC, also present in London, is more optimistic. He expects a return to 1.6 million barrels per day within a year. Neither of the two Libyans anticipate any changes in short-term contracts with the "majors" Foreign strong support for Libya.
Chokri Ghanem there a future in the new Libya? "I do not think it's a good idea to go," says the former "Mr. Oil" Gaddafi by announcing months of instability. Far from Tripoli, he just turned 70 years old and aspires to peace.
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TF1 and Canal + are about to conclude their negotiations for the recovery of the non-exclusive news channel LCI. The parties are agreed on a price higher than the 5 million euros per year initially proposed by Canal +.
After months of standoff, the two operators have approached. Already on Friday, Frédéric Mitterrand, the Minister of Culture and Communication, has publicly that the government did not favor the passage of the LCI DTT to DTT. A position at which the staff of TF1 was more sensitive than the Higher Audiovisual Council has continued to increase, too, signs of reluctance.
Indeed, it is the regulatory body that should have given its approval to such an operation.The CSA has raised the legal difficulties of such an operation and would not have appreciated the statements of Catherine Nayl, director of information at TF1, the possible disappearance of LCI. Today, Canal + and TF1 prefer calm the game's announcement of the acquisition channels Direct 8 Direct and Star by Canal + and that the record fine imposed by the Competition Authority as part of merger with Canal + GST urged to be more generous towards ICL. It would not be good for the group to be, in addition, responsible for the eventual death of the continuous news channel.
For its part, TF1 has weighed the pros and cons of an economic transition to free when the system always loses 5 million for a budget of 43 million euros. The move to free distribution would have widened the gap in the chain up to fifteen million.Difficult to take a risk in times of crisis.
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Meetings on Greece and are very similar, a little. Following a meeting which ended yesterday, the finance ministers of the euro area have not taken any decision regarding the granting of the next tranche of 8 billion euros to Greece vital for the country.
The ministers of the Eurogroup, however, managed to find a compromise with Finland, the day after his election, had demanded of the counterparties to its participation in the second aid plan Greece's 109 billion euros decided July 21 last. Thus, the collateral will be provided in exchange for loans to Greece, said on Tuesday the Finnish government.
Efforts required to Greece
• The Eurogroup requires additional budgetary efforts of Greece, who said the day before not being able to meet its commitments to reduce its budget deficit."We call on Greece to take additional measures" in terms of savings for 2013 and 2014, thus going beyond those that have just been announced for this year and next, warned the president of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker. The euro area also recommends Athens to undertake more privatization of companies.
Increase the contribution of banks
• The President of the Eurogroup has also raised the possibility to contribute more financial rescue banks from Athens. Institutions might also undergo a discount greater than 21% of their claims previously considered Greek. There will be "technical revisions" on the subject from what was decided on July 21, he said.But Jean-Claude Juncker warned that "the involvement of the private sector, we must take into account the fact that we have experienced changes since the decision of July 21."
New missions Stability Fund
• And the ministers have suggested to increase the firepower of its Financial Stability Fund (EFSF). Ministers plan to make the fund more "efficient", as demanded insistently the U.S., but refuses however to increase its volume. This fund could help and use of leverage.
In this way, the mechanism would be allowed to use debt to leverage its ability to act. Several scenarios are circulating, the EFSF could turn into a bank that would finance itself from the European Central Bank (ECB).It could also act as an insurer from the holders of debt and cover their losses at 20% to 25%. Options involving the ECB should not be privileged ones, said Jean-Claude Juncker, without giving details.
The Eurogroup is reassuring
After the meeting, ministers have played the card of appeasement. The Eurogroup President said that Greece would be "able to fulfill its obligations" financial. He reiterated that a "failure of Greece will be avoided, adding that a person contemplates leaving Greece in the euro area."
He says that "final decision will be taken in the month of October" based on the findings of the creditors of Greece currently deployed in the country. The meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel in Berlin on Sunday planned should also do more advanced discussions.The Franco-German meeting will also prepare for the forthcoming European Council and the Eurogroup meeting on 17 and 18 October in Brussels.
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After the 2010 reform, pensions should not be a real issue this year in the budget of the social security system. In fact, the main novelty of this result to come Woerth reform: the legal age will increase to 60 years and 8 months for those born in 1952. The other change was as expected since it corresponds to Nicolas Sarkozy's commitment to increase the "small pensions" by 25% during his five-year term: this will be done on April 1, with a final increase of 4.7 % of the minimum pension for single people.
But Thursday, François Fillon has caused confusion. Referring to the economic convergence between France and Germany, he said that things were moving in the field of corporate tax.He added: "It will take time to go to a joint work towards a common retirement age, to a gradual convergence of economic and social organization of our two countries." But the retirement age with full pension, except for long careers, will be increased to 67 years across the Rhine by 2029.
"Target needed '
Trial balloon of "Fillon-the-discipline"? Clumsiness (this passage was the only improvised his speech)? Applies to defuse his entourage: "Convergence is a general purpose necessary to maintain the competitiveness of France. The recent pension reform is an element of social convergence, and the government does not intend to go beyond in the coming months, "says an adviser.And up, tongue-in-cheek, that the barrier of 67 years had not been mentioned, and that convergence might as well be on "our" 62 years installment payday loans…
In fact, it would be difficult for the Prime Minister to explain that further reform is needed, a year after he hammered the previous balance the books. But in the midst of primary socialist and the day of the budget of the social security, his statement could hardly go unnoticed. For François Hollande, Fillon "revealed the program of Nicolas Sarkozy" in 2012. Segolene Royal accused her of "not being honest", the systems are so different that any comparison between the 67-year German and French 62 years is risky.Exact to the point that Valerie Pécresse also used the argument to play the controversy, noting that the retirement age without financial penalty for people without all their quarters of contribution, would be increased from 2023 in France … in 67 years.
These subtleties have also pushed Martine Aubry to say that the Prime Minister does "not know the subject" and "has a problem with the actual figures." What afoul of Xavier Bertrand: "She would have done better to remain silent. If there is one subject on which the PS has done nothing, other reports and reports of decisions, it's pensions, "responded the Minister of Labour.
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The U.S. equity markets finished the session lower as investors showed disappointment with the Fed's proposals to end the crisis. The Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 and retreat of 1.06% in 1185, and 88 points from 0.78% to 2529.14 points. For its part, the Dow Jones lost 1.04% to 11,296.24 points.
U.S. investors have expressed disappointment with the speech elusive Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, the attitude that the institution intends to adopt to restore growth and employment. "The Federal Reserve has a variety of instruments that can be used to increase financial support to the economy," he said flatly. In the same vein, he says he "discussed the merits and costs of these instruments at a meeting in August."And clarify that he and his "colleagues on the Committee's monetary policy the Fed (FOMC)" continue to study these possibilities in September.
In anticipation of Obama's plan for employment
Still hesitant, most investors are waiting impatiently for the speech Barack Obama (1 hour on Friday, French time), which is expected to announce tonight a plan of some $ 300 billion to reduce unemployment and avoid a recession threatens. Markets, which had initially welcomed the prospect of the announcement, began to appear less enthusiastic. They question in particular its financing and its impact on the U.S. deficit.
On the macroeconomic front, the weekly jobless claims rose in the U.S., whereas they were expected to decline.During the week to September 3, these amounted to 414,000, against 412,000 (revised) the previous week. For its part, the trade deficit fell sharply in July to $ 44.8 billion after two consecutive months above 50 billion, with an unexpected surge in exports. In addition, crude oil inventories fell more than expected last week, announced the U.S. Agency for Energy Information (EIA). They fell 3.96 million barrels to over 353 million, while economists had forecast a decline of 1.9 million barrels. The consumer credit in turn increased more than expected in July. According to the Federal Reserve, the stock rose by 11.97 billion dollars (8.61 billion euros) after an increase of 11.35 billion dollars in June
OECD pessimistic
According to the OECD, economic growth in developed countries could slow sharply, see stalling in the second half and central banks must be prepared to ease monetary policy by lowering interest rates or intervening in the markets. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that growth in the G7 should not exceed 1.6% annualized in the third quarter and is expected to fall to 0.2% over the last three months of year paydayloans.The United States should expand at a 1.1% annualized in the third quarter and 0.4% in the fourth.
In the same tone, the IMF said on Thursday that "the economic situation of a global perspective has deteriorated, and the risks increase, which is what we have said so far," d According to a spokesman.
On the foreign exchange market, the euro declined to 1.3883 dollars (-1.50%). The course of the black gold they have closed lower Thursday, undermined by the fluctuations of the dollar and weak equity markets.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October down 0.32% to 89.05 dollars.
The side of values, the Chinese government pledged Thursday not to make higher bid by "politicizing" an oil spill in the northeast of the country about which the U.S. company ConocoPhillips (-2.124% to 65.880 dollars) has agreed to to endorse its "full responsibility".
The Taiwanese HTC (filed a complaint in the United States against Apple yesterday.The number two mobile phone in Asia accuses the giant of violating patents that Google has to give him.
For its part, Credit Suisse, the bank is considering to withdraw its private banking business in the United States, where the establishment is facing pressure from the U.S. authorities decided to fight against tax evasion, said Thursday the press Switzerland.
Also note, the South Korean group Samsung Electronics will release a new digital tablet under Windows environment, equipped with the Windows operating system developed by Microsoft 8, reported Thursday the Korea Economic Daily, citing a source familiar with the matter.Analysts say South Korea wants to reduce its dependence on Android operating system Google after its acquisition by the American giant of internet mobile phone manufacturer Motorola Mobility.
The Chinese authorities have renewed the license authorizing the operation of the U.S. site Google (0.174% to 534.960 dollars) in China. This decision indicates that Beijing wants to maintain Google in the country, despite its decision to reduce its operations in place against the backdrop of criticism of the policy of censorship. Also note, the infringement proceedings initiated against Google in May by three French publishers, Gallimard, Flammarion and Albin Michel, will not on at the moment, said Thursday the magazine Livres Hebdo online.
The American group messaging FedEx (-1.510% to 74.990 dollars) wants to buy 50 aircraft to modernize its aging air fleet, according to Bloomberg.Fedex is the competing Boeing 767 and Airbus A330, but will make its decision in several months.
The news gave a boost to Wall Street as the U.S. central bank (Fed), the economy across the Atlantic continues to grow. "Economic activity continued to expand at a moderate pace, although there is an activity in some regions hesitant or waning," the Fed said in its situation report published every six weeks on the basis information gathered by the regional branches of the U.S. central bank.
The recovery, however, has been no acceleration in recent weeks and has even slowed in some areas, according to the U.S. central bank. Growth was moderate or mild in five districts, while seven others have described the activity with words like "very low" and "slower". In the last Fed Beige Book, released in late July, eight regions believed that growth had slowed.This does not rule out further the risk of recession in the United States.
Anyway, the news boosted the U.S. stock markets on the eve of the speech of U.S. President, Barack Obama, who is expected to announce a 300 billion plan to boost employment in the United States. So much so that Wall Street has increased its earnings by mid-evening: The Dow Jones climbed 2.09% to 11,372.44 points, the Nasdaq was up 2.67% to 2539.88 points and the Standard and Poor's rose from 2 , 54% to 1194.88 points.
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