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What is the waiting period?
The waiting period is the period at the beginning of the sickness, during which Social Security does not compensate the employee. For those in the private sector, this period is currently three days. They are beginning to reach compensation only from the fourth day of absence. As part of the austerity plan, this period will be increased to four days in the private sector, and one day in the three public functions no fax payday loans. But in practice, only a minority of employees do not receive anything in the first three days, most companies shall bear all or part of the time (see below).
The waiting period have the same impact for all employees?
For many employees, it is painless. According to the Ministry of Budget, 70% of them are covered by a collective agreement that provides for the assumption by the employer of all or part of the waiting period.
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One week after the personnel of Air France, the SNCF rail workers are also being on strike. Under the impetus of the railway section of the European Federation of Transport Workers (ETF), the CGT, UNSA, the CFDT and CFTC began Monday evening at 20h a protest movement that will end at 8 am Wednesday morning.
Consequence: the traffic is slightly disrupted Tuesday. The TGV normally roll axis except Atlantic routes, where seven out of 10 will be provided. For Transiliens – Paris commuter trains – three out of four trains roll on average during peak hours. As for the TER (regional trains), they are also three sets of four that will work.
The situation was complicated, however, on Tuesday morning in the Paris area RER B cash advance. Surla The RATP staff working on this line have invoked their right to withdraw following the discovery of asbestos on some trains.The traffic of this line is very upset: no train run from the Gare du Nord and Saint-Rémy-lès-Chevreuse (Yvelines) between 10:30 and 16:00, and only two on a train run between 7am and 9am and from 16h .
On the other RER lines operated by the SNCF, the traffic is normal on lines A and E. Two out of three trains running on lines B and C, while 7 out of 10 trains run on the line D.
A journey of two will also be provided on average for the Intercity day, with normal traffic on the routes Paris-Clermont-Ferrand, Paris-Limoges-Toulouse and Paris-Amiens-Boulogne.
The billionaire Mohammed al-Fayed and Ali were settled. After months of hesitation, the brothers launched heavy work at the Ritz. "We will close the entire hotel and early summer of 2012, says the management. We hope to reopen for Christmas in 2014 or, at worst, for couture fashion shows in January 2015. The exact schedule will depend on discussions with the social partners. "Mohammed al-Fayed, who calls himself" very attached to the Ritz and its 500 employees ", unveiled his plans at a works council on Monday. "His decision was not easy to take because it will have to part with a number of employees the time of the twenty-seven months of temporary closure, said a spokesman for the Ritz, but denied the figure of 500 layoffs.We hope that the reclassification will be facilitated by the opening of several hotels in the capital and postulates that our staff at the reopening. "In the luxury hotel business, and more at the Ritz, the regulars like indeed to deal with familiar faces.
Rooms, suites, gardens, restaurants, spa … everything will be redone and brought up to date. According to the architects of historical monuments which guard the classified parts of the Ritz, al-Fayed will benefit from the work to restore them. "In the parts not listed, there must be the recent demolition of buildings, explains Gabriel Matar, director of real estate consulting firm Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels. And refurbishment of public areas, such as the lobby. "Work on the Place Vendome should also help to link the car park, managed by Vinci, at the hotel.This luxury that did not exist at the time of Diana, the stars will come and go discreetly. As revealed in our survey ("The Ritz at the dawn of the Renaissance," our editions of 25-26 June 2011), the project was entrusted to architect Thierry Despont. Based in New York, the French had recently abandoned the site of the Peninsula, near the Arc de Triomphe. Reportedly, the work is estimated at 200 million euros. The exact bill will depend on negotiations with the unions.
Already in 1979, when he bought the Ritz to the heirs of the founder, Mohammed al-Fayed had invested 250 million euros in outstanding work, including the construction of the most beautiful pool in Paris. From 1980 to late 1990, the Ritz is true to his legend. Several elderly heirs live throughout the year and the stars of Woody Allen to Kate Moss, make it their preferred address.
A symbolic death
And then, the drama. On August 31, 1997, Diana and Dodi dined there the night of their deaths. Mohammed al-Fayed will never recover from the loss of his eldest son. Withdraws into the palace itself. As if the Ritz was also symbolically die. In spring 2011, the State denied him the new name "palace." The Ritz has to settle for a five-star rating. Mohammed and his brother, aged 80 and 78, have the choice of selling or investing. Bellehaven installed, an enclave for billionaires near New York, Ali al-Fayed is not passionate about the hotel, as his son, who created Bespoken, a line of clothing dandy. The fate of the Ritz was decided in London, home to Mohammed al-Fayed.
Everything changed in May 2009.To everyone's surprise, his youngest son, Omar, supposed to take over his father, resigned from his administrative positions at Harrods and the Ritz and disappears into the wild. Ten months later, the billionaire gives Harrods the royal family of Qatar. Therefore, Mohammed al-Fayed has the cash to replace the Ritz afloat. After some wrangling, he finally decided and for the delight of lovers of the Ritz.
Asian stock markets on Tuesday were in turn carried by the optimism that won the scholarships in Europe and the United States yesterday. The promise, made Sunday in Berlin speaks French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, are bearing fruit. Hopeful, investors await the answers to the debt crisis in the euro area are expected before early November. They also expect to learn more about the plan to recapitalize weak banks in the region.
Meanwhile, the Japanese Nikkei sets the tone. Around 7:00, he climbed 2.15% to 8790 points. The Tokyo Stock Exchange was closed yesterday because of a holiday and had not yet responded to the ads of the Franco-German. The Nikkei is notably supported by exporters who find the values of the force with the weaker yen against the euro.The single currency is changing around 104.50 yen this morning, well above its record low reached in ten years on October 4, at 100.76 yen. Sony gained 5.58%, 5.64% Ricoh, Sharp and Toshiba 3.44% 5.55%. The automotive sector is doing well also: Honda Motor rising from 6.03% Hyundai 3.6% and 2.12% of Toyota.
State intervention with Chinese banks
The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong and Shanghai are also in the green. At 7:00, they earn 3 cash advances pay day loan.26% respectively to 18,287 points and 0.72% at 2361 points. Financial stocks pull the score up after a share buyback of the main state banks by sovereign wealth fund China Huijin. According to brokers, this operation is to stabilize the financial system in China.In Hong Kong, around 7:15, the actions of the banks concerned fly: Agricultural Bank of China jumped 15.09% so, Industrial & Commercial Bank of China of 7.92%, China Construction Bank gained 7.04% and of China 8.94%.
Other markets in the region are also in good spirits. The Korean Kospi gained 1.89% to 1799 points, the S & P Australian advance of 0.47% to 4220 points and the Indian Sensex climbed 0.86% to 16,699 points.
Oil stabilizes
Oil was steady Tuesday in Asia, maintaining its gains made the previous day, in a market supported by the will of France and Germany to resolve the crisis of government debt in Europe and disruptions in oil exports to Kuwait due to a strike by customs officials who demanded an increase in their wages.
The barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery gained 18 cents to 85.59 dollars.A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gave a small 14 cents to 108.81 dollars.
Euro countries, including France and Germany plan to push a few days at least the Euro Summit in Brussels originally scheduled for Oct. 18, according to European sources consistent.
This is to give a little more time to the development of the answer "global" announced this weekend in Berlin by Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel. The European Council President Van Rompuy must specify the new calendar in the day, according to his entourage.
'Global response'
In Berlin, the President and the Chancellor had foreshadowed the shift by promising "sustainable solutions, comprehensive and fast before the end of the month."They also kept to define the contours, which allows to believe that the agreement is to be locked at seventeen if not two, on the key points: the recapitalization of banks and the role of the European stabilization financial, finding economically viable treatment for Greece and modification of European treaties in order to strengthen collective discipline.
Europeans to revise their copy, just three months after concocted, July 21, a plan intended to resolve the crisis in Greece and curb its spread to Italy or Spain. It has not yet been adopted by all Seventeen. The vote of Slovakia, with a coalition divided on the subject may become paralyzing veto and the euro area.
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Not surprisingly, the International Monetary Fund has revised downwards its growth forecast for the global economy to 4% for both 2011 and for 2012, 0.5 points less than the 4.5% announced in April. "4% may seem not too bad, but the recovery is very unbalanced: in 2011 we see a 6.4% growth for emerging countries, but only 1.6% for advanced economies," said Olivier Tuesday Blanchard, IMF chief economist, introducing the new World Economic Outlook (WEO).
That is not this shift, now usual between the North and South, which most worries economists in Washington. "The risks are clearly downward," acknowledged Olivier Blanchard.Referring to the previous stock market declines in recent decades, he admits that there is now a risk of recession with a probability of 38% in the U.S. and 17% to 18% in the United Kingdom and France, if one believes the econometric calculations.
For its part, the IMF has produced an alternative scenario combining three ingredients, "the uncontrolled financial turmoil in the euro area, combined with a deteriorating growth outlook for the medium term in the United States and a financial backlash on the real estate sector in emerging Asia. " Given the limited room for maneuver of monetary and fiscal advanced countries, the United States and the euro area might then go into recession, with activity levels less than 3% in 2012 to what is seen in the baseline scenario of WEO.Japan is not free, losing 1.5% growth compared to the central projections, or even emerging Asia, which would end 2 guaranteed personal loan approval.5% lower than expected.
If the IMF raised the specter of recession it is best to exorcise it. And governments to launch "a fervent call to action". "The leaders (politicians) are set back one step on the evolution of markets," said the economist of the IMF. "Europe can not provide the luxury of waiting three or four months to implement the plan of July 21 and in particular the reform of the European financial stability."
Accordance with his duties as conductor of globalization, the IMF presented a roadmap in three points. "The first fiscal policy. Consolidation can not be too fast because it would kill growth. It can not be too slow because it would undermine its credibility. "Olivier Blanchard and insist that the tempo has to be adapted to each country. It also considers that there are three ways to support domestic demand in the country with low interest rates, the ability of banks to distribute loans and solutions to real estate (in the U.S. ).
The second is financial. The IMF again sang the anthem of the recapitalization of banks. "For a number of banks, especially in Europe, this requires the contribution of new capital, preferably private and public sources if necessary."
Third field of action, "the international rebalancing." In this regard the ball is in the court of Asia, which should replace the U.S. consumer as the engine of global growth. "Even if this can not happen overnight," conceded Olivier Blanchard.
Lefigaro.fr – Can we say that Kweku Adoboli is "the new Kerviel"?
Frederic Boulier – It is true that there are many similarities with the Kerviel affair. The amounts are lost in the same order of magnitude. Jerome Kerviel lost 4.9 billion euros at Societe Generale, but before the "unwinding" of his positions, the loss amounted to 1.5 billion euros. In addition, two young traders of thirty years who do not leave the harem and who have a priori not studied mathematics attacks.If such solutions were introduced to Jérôme Kerviel, the fraud was detected nine months in advance.
The laxity of financial institutions will he accelerate the reform of British banking system?
I do not see because the British government stand by to this new fraud. Today, a single trader can place a financial institution to its knees if there is not an effective risk control upstream. It should probably expect the introduction of special measures to strengthen the role of authorities to monitor the control of financial institutions.Since the Kerviel affair and the "subprime" mistrust vis-à-vis banks is clearly went crescendo.
Why banks have not they learned from the Kerviel affair?
It is difficult to generalize and say that the lessons of the Kerviel affair were not included. This is not the financial system is to question, even if it is true that there are likely other fraud of this magnitude. Moreover, according to statistics, there are all two or three years. We can not avoid all financial frauds. However, one can detect some with software solutions that I advanced earlier and limit losses to a few million or tens of millions of euros.
Is it the fabulous bonuses which encourage traders to take risks as important?
It is true that greed can push market participants to take some unnecessary risks. But in 99% of cases of fraud, be aware there is no direct personal gain. Traders are sometimes victims of runaway losses due to the desire to "chasing" in the jargon of traders.
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The Paris Bourse succeed does bind to a fourth straight increase session on Thursday? nothing is less certain. At the opening, the CAC 40 showed an increase of 0.50% to 3273.05 points. But soon, the benchmark index in Paris fell into the red. Around 10:30, it loses 0.76% to 3232.15 points.
The reversal was also performed in London, the FTSE-100 lost 0.56% to 5364 points while the Frankfurt Dax 1.57% to let go of 5693.76 points.
On Thursday, investors are wait-until a series of indicators in the United States. On the menu: the Monster Employment Index and weekly jobless claims before the highly anticipated monthly employment report on Friday.Productivity in the second quarter and is expected construction spending and ISM manufacturing.
In the euro area, the final manufacturing PMI contracted in August for the first time since September 2009 due to a fall in output and new orders. The index calculated by Markit PMI final spring to 49.0 in August, against an initial estimate of 49.7 and after 50.4 in July. The German manufacturing sector slowed in August, including at its lowest in almost two years, to 50.9 after 52.0 in July.In France, the PMI industry has returned to 49.1 against 50.5 in July, an even sharper decline than that reflected by the flash estimate of 49.3 issued two weeks ago.
Also in France, the unemployment rate as defined in International Labour Office (ILO) decreased slightly by 0.1 points in the second quarter to 9.1% on average in metropolitan (9.6% including the departments of overseas), according to data seasonally adjusted (SA) Interim released Thursday by INSEE.
Yesterday, the Cac 40 ended on a strong growth of 3.07% allowing it to pick up 3250 points. And signals from Wall Street, which also ended the month of August on an increase of 0.46% are good.Also this morning, Asian markets generally appear in the green, backed by the index of manufacturing activity in China has reached 50.9 in August, against 50.7 in July.
Investors seemed reassured by the Fed to continue to support that ensures the growth of the United States by a new policy of monetary easing. These remarks, made during the last minutes of the meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee, reinforce those of the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, who on Friday called the elect to make fiscal stimulus measures to complement the action of the bank Central.
As for the oil markets, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 21 cents to 89.02 dollars in morning trading and a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery climbed 29 cents to 115 , $ 14.On the currency markets, the euro fell slightly to 1.4358 dollar.
Values to follow
Banking
Greek debt is out of control and the measures taken by the government can not restore the finances, the report of an independent parliamentary commission on Wednesday. The bank responded by piecemeal: Societe Generale gained 1.37% to 23.75 euros, Natixis 0.39% to 2.80 euros, BNP Paribas 0.21% to 35.94 euros. Crédit Agricole down however from 0.94% to 6.75 euros. Axa loses 0.45% to 11.13 euros.
Peugeot: -1.92% to 20.92 euros, Renault: -1.99% to 27.77 euros, Michelin: -1.77% to 50.09 euros
The new car registrations were up 3.2% in August.But sales of SAP were down 3% and 1 direct payday lenders.4% of Renault.
Sanofi: -0.47% to 50.42 euros
The group reached an agreement with Pfizer to produce generic versions of Lipitor cholesterol before the star of the American group from falling into the public domain, writes Les Echos newspaper on Wednesday.
Total: 0.12% to 34.03 euros
The National Transitional Council (CNT) Libya has promised to give to France 35% of crude oil from Libya in exchange for recognition of its legitimacy Paris, Liberation reported Thursday.
Iliad: 2.85% to 85.93 euros (largest increase in the SBF 120)
The internet service provider reported in the first half of 231,000 new subscribers under its brand Free (excluding Alice), a market share of 36% and saw its EBITDA margin to improve by a , 4 point to 40%, or 416.4 million euros on sales of 1.04 billion (+2.6%).
France Telecom: 0.26% to 13.33 euros
The U.S. administration has initiated legal proceedings Wednesday to block the sale of Deutsche Telekom's U.S. subsidiary T-Mobile to the giant AT & T for reasons of respect for competition.
Pernod Ricard: -1.54% to 61.54 euros
The French producer of wines and spirits, announced Thursday a 10% increase in net profit for the year 2010-2011, exceeding for the first time the billion euros.
Eurazeo: -2.38% to 38.71 euros
The investment company said Thursday in a loss of 106.3 million euros in the first half due to losses on derivatives and goodwill
GDF Suez: -0.41% to 21.86 euros
The group said it had completed the acquisition of gas storage sites in Germany.
Eiffage: -7.08% to 31.50 euros
The new CEO of the group does not preclude the sale or closure of loss-making subsidiaries to consolidate the early resumption of the performance of the construction group observed in the first half.
Saint-Gobain: -0.94% to 34.70 euros
The group announced it would invest $ 100 million (69.41 million euros) in the United States to create a factory specializing in the manufacture of ceramic balls ("proppants") used in wells oil and gas.
Latécoère confirms its objectives
Lagardère: -8.67% to 21.74 euros
The group was forced to significantly revise down its forecast for operating profit for 2011 because of the difficulties encountered by the sports center in the first half.
Maurel et Prom: 1.73% to 14.73 euros
The group took the first half of the increase in its oil production and high prices in oil prices to clear the results up sharply.
Guyenne et Gascogne: -3% to 86.09%
The group reported a loss in the first half, the franchisee of Carrefour have been penalized by its subsidiary Sogara whose accounts were affected by several non-recurring items.
Latécoère: stable to 10.77 euros
The group, whose net income rebounded sharply during the first half, confirmed its targets for operating profit in 2011 and 2012.
Theolia: 10.48% to 1.16 euros
The group reported Wednesday a recovery in its interim results, the French wind power has reduced its interest expense over the period, particularly through the conversion action of nearly two million of bonds.
After market, Neopost will publish its revenue for the second quarter and Stallergenes results for the first half.
Shortly before the opening on Tuesday on Wall Street index futures Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, yielded 0.74% to 1199.20 points and 2207.50 points to 0.56%. The Dow Jones was waiting for his part, down 0.59% at 11,449 points.
After the flight of the day, the New York Stock Exchange and could catch his breath at the opening on Tuesday. Profit taking, mixed with caution always appreciated by investors, seem to encourage U.S. stock markets to begin the session backwards. Even if the words, held last Friday by the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke reassured, prompting indexes rebounded strongly yesterday, investors remain worried.As recalled in a note Tuesday that Jean-Michel Six, chief Europe economist for Standard & Poor's, a "recession" double-dip "is preventable, but the risk increases."
Real Estate and Consumer Menu
Investors monitor more than ever the various macroeconomic indicators of the week free credit report and score. Both are on the agenda for this Tuesday: the Case-Shiller real estate index of house prices for June, from 15.00. Then will come at 16:00, the numbers of consumer confidence for August.
The minutes of the Federal Reserve (Fed) minutes of the last meeting of 9 August, the Monetary Policy Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. central bank will also be observed under the microscope, after market close, at 20:00 Paris time .
On the corporate side, no major publication on Tuesday.Bank of America on Monday launched a new large-scale operation to strengthen its capital by selling about half its stake in China Construction Bank, which allows him to approach the future requirements of rules known as "Basel III". The bank will retain 5% stake in the establishment of China (BCC) after this transaction, which must be completed by the end of September. The sale includes 13.1 million shares of the CCB to a group of investors.
After a smooth start Monday, the prestigious yearling sales at Deauville * Tuesday saw the excitement of great days with a filly born to the purple.
When she was presented the "ring" of the Establishment Elie de Brignac, located opposite the racecourse The Touques, tension immediately rose several notches in the gallery hosting the auction buyers and quickly flamed .
For this filly, by the stud of Perelle, is a daughter of Galileo, the best stallion in the world (it's riding the famous Coolmore Stud in Ireland and its projection amounts to tens of thousands of euros).As for his mother, Sanjida, after the breeding of His Highness the Aga Khan is a close relative of Sarafina champion, winner in 2010 of three groups I, including the Prix de Diane, Qatar and the last third Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe.
Quickly, the auction turned into a duel between two Australian businessmen, Paul Fudge and Paul Makin, both thoroughbred breeders and owners of racehorses. Finally, the first had the last word with a bid of 1.7 million, the auctioneer lowered his gavel and say the traditional "awarded" for Lot 138.
The 2002 record still stands
This amount is probably the "top price" sales in 2011 in Deauville, which will end Thursday make quick cash. But the record set in 2002 still stands.At the time, Sheikh Mohammed Al Maktoum, Ruler of Dubai and owner of the Godolphin stables, one of the largest in the world, did not hesitate to pay 2 million euros to buy the filly Vimy Ridge. This year, like last year, Sheikh Mohammed and Sheikh Hamdan's brother, are not present on the Normandy coast because of Ramadan.
In addition to the price achieved by the daughter of Galileo, fifteen yearlings yesterday exceeded the threshold of 200,000 euros, which allowed a rebound. "On the combination of the first two days, there was a 20% increase in sales compared to 2010, said in Galop Day, Eric Hoyeau, the president of Arqana, organizer of sales. The percentage of sales increased by 68% to 71.3%. The average price 145,500 euros against 150,000 – it is substantially equivalent to that of 2010. "
After the first two days, its objective, namely a slight increase over 2010, a year marked by a fall (-28%) of sales of sales of Deauville, becomes more and more feasible .
* Thoroughbred of 18 months
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