Archive for the 'economics' Category
The CAC 40 index which comprises the forty largest capitalization of the Paris market, will be 41 values within one day, Friday, July 2, with the division of the Accor group, said in a statement Friday the exchange operator NYSE Euronext.
Accor, which is part of the CAC 40 will separate into two entities, one containing the name Accor hotels and gathering activities, and the other called Edenred, representing the prepaid services industry (Ticket Restaurant, gift cards bad Credit payday advance ..).
On July 2, two new groups will therefore part of the CAC 40 Edenred do so before the index feature of Parisian place before the opening of the meeting of Monday, July 5, said NYSE Euronext.
The general meeting to approve the demerger will take place June 29, days before the listing of the two entities.
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The division of Accor effective early July
The email, signed by Jean-Marie Messier, was dated Sunday, June 30, 2002 at 10 am 23. It may look like a formal letter stating the last wishes of a CEO for a stay. The paper brings to light the scenes is a bit petty negotiations after leaving the group.
That Sunday, Jean-Marie Messier knows he was dropped by the main shareholders. The accounts of Vivendi Universal are in the red. A loss of 13.6 billion euros has been announced. While three days before a board of directors has rejected a narrow majority vote of no confidence against him, he is preparing to resign officially. His departure seems to be the only solution to reassure markets that have become hostile to personality and promises disappointed "J2M.
This Sunday morning, Jean-Marie Messier is therefore sending an email to one of his lawyers."Then I will summarize the points that I want to have all the details?", Begins the missive in a list. First point: "check the proper treatment" of several close aides including Xavier Couture, then CEO of Canal +. Third point: "ensure a legal cover" and an "unlimited coverage for legal fees. To pay them, said in a parenthesis Jean-Marie Messier, "it must be shielded." Other points: provide "social security coverage for my family," fees for the apartment in New York, to benefit from 20 hours per year of flights on aircraft or group chair the ceremony films were made by several Filmmakers on September 11."They are small and big important things," says the e-mail Sunday morning.
Reading this list by the presiding judge is not likely to put at ease Jean-Marie Messier. "It is both a needle in a haystack and it has a pathetic," he explains at the helm. I decided to leave VU but I was still looking for ways to hang myself by mentioning the date of such board or of the projection of films on September 11. Rereading it after eight years, is baroque! ".
The former CEO has said he resigned from the group by letter on the night of Sunday to Monday without worrying about the conditions of his departure quick pay day loan.He had refused a golden parachute clause inserted in his contract after the merger with Seagram, Vivendi, "yet it was the practice in American companies," says he. And he was not at the time of signing his resignation guarantees on his departure: "My decision was to leave and was independent of contract terms," he repeats at least four times in court.
Four days later, July 3, 2002, we find the time to file a handwritten letter addressed to the administrators group."J2M" indignant that he was asked to "make a decision that breaks his professional life," that is, to resign, that he was "promised straight in the eye to treat honorably" but ultimately it is a question not to grant him his starting conditions.
"This letter is not a boss but someone lost, lost, who knows what to do," justifies this time "J2M. The terms of his departure he has finally provided a driver, health coverage for five years and a sum of 18.6 million euros, a sum never touched, an arbitration in New York who stopped in the middle flight this "golden parachute". This short list is at the center of a prosecution for abuse of corporate assets
On this point, the court is no longer the place of the feelings by writing an email Sunday morning dark.At the bar in the courtroom sunny, Jean-Marie Messier adjusts his expressions when the time comes to discuss these golden parachutes to CEOs French inspired 2000s counterparts américiains. He uses a clear voice and clear expression. "I know the media sensitivity when you mention these matters, argues the former CEO. But I mean there was no prejudice. I acted in good faith. For the rest, I had no hand. I thank you for Vivendi Universal.
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Concern swells in China. While inflation has risen another 2.8% in April, house prices have soared 12.8% last month, their sharpest rise in five years. The measures launched in recent months by the central government to cool the Chinese economy struggling to reassure. So much so that some Chinese personalities out of their usual reserve to sound the alarm.
In a video interview published in the Financial Times, Li Daokui, professor at Tsinghua University (located in the northwest suburbs of Beijing) and member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the People's Bank of China, said that "the problem housing in China is actually much more fundamental and more important as the housing market in the United States and the United Kingdom before the financial crisis. " He said "it is not only a problem of a bubble.
A "social problem"
Soaring property prices may lead to "social problems of great magnitude," Li Daokui analysis. What would happen is China, at a time when wage demands and strikes have taken center stage in recent days. "When prices start to rise, many people, especially youth, are becoming very concerned." The home ownership, which already applies to few households would be increasingly difficult in the current euphoria estate .
The authorities have announced a round of measures since last January in order to stop the burning of property prices. The state has already imposed restrictions on sales of apartments, including the introduction of "flat shop" in Beijing. He has also taken steps to tighten credit flowing.New loans granted by banks in April, however, have reached 774 billion yuan (87.7 billion euros), or 182.2 billion more than in April 2009. Finally, the government announced the "gradual" introduction of a tax on real property.
Reform at the local level
To advise the Central Bank, this range of measures is a "first step", which will control real estate speculation. But it must involve "a long-term reform" of the Chinese real estate market, warns Li Daokui. "The second stage will address the supply problem." According to the professor, steps should be taken in the second semester or early next year to encourage local governments to provide housing for households moderate and low wage.For now, local authorities prefer to sell their land to generate revenue, Li Daokui regrets.
For him, the tax on housing advertised nationally is not a solution because it may further exclude households in the housing market. An opinion shared by Axa Investment Managers. In his weekly memo, the economist Hervé Lievore points to the "vicious cycle" moved "between investors, developers and local communities," the potential to fuel a "social discontent." Believing that the policy implemented by Beijing makes sense, analysts at Societe Generale also stress the need to manage the supply of real estate in order to curb rising prices and facilitate the accession of China to the property.
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Put under pressure by Guy Wyser-Pratte complains strategy, Arnaud Lagard?re, general partner of the Lagard?re group, has defended his record at the general meeting of shareholders held this morning at the Palais des Congr?s Paris. He said he was "optimistic" about prospects for his group in 2010. "In 2009, the cash flow was very well kept, with 650 million euros. And that's a powerful symbol of a sound and applied to the cash, "said Arnaud Lagardere. He added: "All family groups are extremely sensitive to this criterion one, which is the most vital criterion for a company in the long term."
Lagard?re: -18% and 10% in less than a year
In 2009, Lagard?re has 4 divided by its net profit to 137 million euros and issued a revenue down 4% to 7.9 billion euros.Lagardere will publish its turnover in the first quarter 2010 on May 11 next.
It is interesting to note that since the offensive led by Guy Wyser-Pratte cons strategy Arnaud Lagard?re, General Partner of Lagard?re, March 25 last, the stock has gained around 10% (figure at 10:30 AM, Ed) . And, while the price lost almost 18% since October 2009. He took the opportunity to slip a few tackles to Guy Wyser-Pratte: "The dictatorship of the immediate is probably the most destructive of shareholder value. We will never get into the music, the display and large terrestrial TV and pay, "said Arnaud Lagardere.
The Autorit? des march?s financiers (AMF) by its president Jean-Pierre Jouyet, has confirmed that the Lagard?re was put under surveillance for several weeks."As in such situations, we monitored closely the evolution of the title and the statements of each other in the preparation of this meeting," he said Monday at Canal + Guaranteed high risk Personal loans.
The MFA does not investigate
Last Friday, a spokesman for the AMF had confirmed receiving a letter of Lagard?re."We look at which patterns of the market as we look at the title and transaction information is transmitted," she said, adding that a supervision order does not imply any launch an investigation.
In late March, the American financier Guy Wyser-Pratte, who holds 0.53% stake in the group Lagard?re has submitted two resolutions: one to make his entrance to the supervisory board and the other to call into question the Staff Partnership Group for Lagardere to develop it into a corporation. Two resolutions that Arnaud Lagardere has always opposed.
Guy Wyser-Pratte can count on the support of Riskmetrics, a consulting firm specializing in governance and whose advice is well attended by institutional investors, representing over 78% of the capital of Lagard?re.For its part, Arnaud Lagardere has received support from the Association of Small Holders assets (Appac) holding 3.5% stake in Arcelor.
After one of the few values to evolve in the green at the Paris Bourse, the Lagard?re shows a sharp decline towards 12.15: -0.71% to 31.41 euros in a market down by 1.46% .
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Oil climbs again
Insensitive to calls for a "perfect price" of $ 80 a barrel, launched by OPEC, oil prices clung all week at the helm of $ 86. A barrel of light crude Texas (WTI) for May delivery has exceeded the 87 dollars for the first time since October 2008 last week.
The markets were quickly erased their losses Wednesday and Thursday, with a barrel qutour income of $ 85. Investors were then cooled by a rebound in the dollar and especially by a surprise increase in weekly unemployment registration. During the week of April 3, the latter amounted to 460,000 against 442,000 the previous week, according to the Department of Labor.An indicator that put the brakes on optimism the speed of recovery and hence the increase in oil demand.
On Friday, during fro above $ 86 a barrel in New York, enjoying a rebound in equity markets and a slight weakening of the dollar. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for delivery in May stood at 85.74 dollars on the InterContinental Exchange (ICE) in London. "We needed a correction, we have had, then one starts to rise," noted Tom Bentz of BNP Paribas. "It's always the same story, it has small downturns, and buyers are returning. Buyers have been constantly rewarded when they took advantage of these folds and so it continues, "he noted.
According to analysts, "the courts seem to have found a floor around $ 85 a barrel.A sustained movement under $ 70 now seems much less likely that progress towards 90 dollars.
Copper, a leading base metals
After profit taking Thursday, the base metals markets are generally started to increase.
Copper shows a striking health, reaching its highest since August 2008 Tuesday to 8010 dollars per ton. Friday's trading at 7,794.50 dollars per tonne on the London Metal Exchange (LME). Since January first, the increase is 6.12% and 81.10% over one year. China is largely the cause of this infatuation. The country engulfed 40% of global demand. The World Copper Conference, held Wednesday and Thursday, has made it the starting point for discussions. According to participants, China should boost demand by 5.4% in 2010. Growth to 12% in the first quarter bodes well for the future.
Nickel also benefits from China's growth through the increase of the steel in the country. The production of stainless steel (two-thirds of nickel consumption) explodes in the country. After crossing the 25,000 dollars per tonne on April 1 (highest level since June 2008 on the LME) prices were around the 24,435 dollars Friday.
In their wake, aluminum climbed to 2,397 dollars per tonne on the LME, its highest level since October 2008. An upward, according to observers, would that point.
Precious metals: palladium in great shape
As for precious metals, gold has had a week of small but can increase to a rise of 2.68% over the last 5 days. Friday, for the first time since January 12, gold has taken the helm of 1150 dollars.After the first auction in London, per ounce in late morning trading at in 1156 dollars (863.009 euros) against 1148 dollars.
For its part, palladium continues upward, reaching its highest level since 2008. Strong growth still driven by the fear of insufficient supply while the automotive market (primary market) leaves. Palladium rating still around $ 500 an ounce.
In the aftermath, platinum is about 1.29% in one week in 1722 dollars an ounce Friday.
Agricultural raw materials: grains fall
Prices of wheat, corn and soybeans continued to fall this week. As expected, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has left its forecast production virtually unchanged in its report released Friday.Thus, world production of wheat for the 2009/2010 marketing year amounted to 678.42 million tonnes (Mt) against 678.01 million tonnes expected this month. Global consumption is raised by 1 Mt to 647.83 Mt, the final inventory at the end of the 2009/10 campaign back to 195.82 million tonnes against 196.77 million tonnes estimated a month ago.
Friday, wheat dropped to 470.75 dollars in Chicago. A bushel of soybeans was $ 9.48 dollars while corn was trading at $ 3.49 a bushel.
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev himself has planned to attend the ceremony. On Friday, the Baltic pipeline, Nord Stream, carried by the Russian company Gazprom, will finally stage of project to construction. The first stone of the future submarine pipe along 1200 km will be laid in Vyborg, on the shores of the Gulf of Finland, a hundred miles from St. Petersburg. Nord Stream is expected to provide, by 2013, 55 billion cubic meters of natural gas per year, delivered directly to Germany. Gerard Mestrallet, Chairman of GDF Suez, attend the ceremony. The French group is involved in the project which is expected shortly to become a shareholder in the consortium with 9% of the capital.
"Nord Stream is a key element of security of supply, without any transit countries, welcomed Mestrallet early March on the occasion of the Paris visit of Dmitri Medvedev.The Baltic pipeline will in fact Russia to deliver Europe (which represents 80% of its gas exports), bypassing Ukraine, a transit country whose relationship has been adversarial with Moscow until the election February's pro-Russian President Viktor Yanukovych. Nord Stream also avoids another export route, via Bi?olorussie-ally-capricious and Poland.
During the visit of Russian President in France, Gerard Mestrallet had welcomed the historic relationship of GDF established with Gazprom for thirty-five and secure supply contracts until 2030. But everyone in Paris does not share this idyllic vision of the relationship with Russia, the leading exporter of natural gas."Europe is dramatically dependent" for its gas, alarmed Stoffa?s Christian, chairman of the Center for Future Studies and International Information (CEPII), who has written a report on the subject on behalf of the Council Strategic Analysis, a body attached to Matignon. If the 145-page document provides a finding widespread evidence of the vulnerability on its European gas supply, Christian Stoffa?s was accompanied by comments not always diplomatic in presenting Friday empire payday loans. The risk of dependence is not one of supply disruption, Stoffa?s analysis, but it "weighs on the minds of Europeans and creates tensions." Europe currently imports 60% of its gas needs, 25% in Russia.The depletion of fields in the North Sea and the growth of demand should increase this dependence. Christian Stoffa?s regrets unvarnished recruitment by "providers" of former European leaders, referring to the former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, who became chairman of the board of shareholders of Nord Stream. "The importers are under blackmail from Gazprom but do not want bureaucrats in Brussels", Assen yet the author of the report. The former director of Foresight EDF considers that the Ukrainian crisis for most of 2006 and January 2009, when the tap was actually closed, the awareness of the need for joint action gains little from the Old Continent little.
"A real strength of negotiation"
The report recommends Stoffa?s among six recommendations, the creation of a Central European call.It takes up an idea put forward by Nicolas Sarkozy in his speech of May 5, 2009 at Nimes, "I want to bring the idea of a central European purchasing gas for Europe is a real strength in negotiations with its suppliers. "Jacques Delors, former President of the Commission, which is close Stoffa?s Christian, has just called with the same strategic objectives of independence, the creation of a European power, in a preamble report published by the think tank Notre Europe. The fact is that "the sellers are the condition of the sale," admitted recently Jean-Francois Cirelli, vice-chairman of GDF Suez.Stoffa?s Christian is convinced that even if the process takes years, "if there is political will, the companies will be happy to be less dependent on Gazprom.
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Weekend in the red at the NYSE. After an opening in the calm (+0.2%), the Dow Jones sank into the red (-0.36%) before closing on a decline of 0.38%. The Nasdaq also finished down 0.78%.
"The participants lack of enthusiasm, given the lack of news on the front of businesses and lack of economic indicator program," noted analysts at the financial website Briefing.com. The meeting should be led mainly by technical factors, with the simultaneous expiration of several types of options.
Prudent investors do not seem affected by the fears, renewed, Europe, for Greece.
The euro, penalized by these uncertainties Greek, lost 0.78% to 1.3504 dollar.The euro, which dropped below the 1.36 dollar remains under pressure and moving erratically for several weeks.
Palm collapses
The action of the mobile phone manufacturer Palm, is buffeted this Friday. The fall of 18.23% to 4.63 dollars. Investors punish new quarterly losses and forecast very pessimistic. Over the period from December to January, the manufacturer of Pre lost 22 million dollars, twice the previous quarter and more than expected by analysts.The revenue (almost $ 350 million) is better than expected, but because of poor consumer sales of its devices by the operators, it is expected to "less than" 150 million dollars, twice less previously anticipated fast cash without a hassle .
The largest bookseller in the United States, Barnes & Noble (-1.14% to 22.64 dollars) has announced that it would change the CEO. This is the current president of the group's website, William Lynch, who will replace Steve Riggio at the head of the company. The future leader has helped launch the electronic bookstore Barnes & Noble and he oversaw the launch of an electronic book reader called the Nook, a product designed to compete with the readers of e-books competitors, such as the Kindle or the 'iPad.
FedEx (-2.06% to 90.76 dollars) posted net earnings of $ 239 million, up 146% in the third quarter. Based on the number of shares, the result stood at 76 cents. The logistics group has exceeded its own targets, which ranged from 50 to 70 cents, and estimates of analysts, who on average expected a figure of 72 cents. The operating profit jumped 129% to 416 million dollars for an operating margin of 4.8% against 2.2% a year ago.
Aetna argues the document. The life insurer believes that its earnings per share in the first quarter will exceed the consensus Wall Street (66 cents) to 2.55 dollars, or $ 2.65. The action takes 3.67% to 34.45 dollars.
The U.S. aircraft manufacturer Boeing has announced that it would expedite the production of its 777 aircraft and 747 to meet the growing demand from customers. Sign that the aerospace market is recovering.The securities are 0.52% to 71.25 dollars after opening up over 2%.
Nearly eight billion dollars. Or nearly 6 billion euros. In one week, traders and hedge-funds (hedge funds seeking higher returns, in particular through the options) were initiated some 40,000 contracts against the euro, according to the online edition of the Financial Times on Monday evening. Investors have decided to take so-called short positions on the euro, that is to say, bet down on the currency. In total, these investments "shorts" are a massive $ 7.6 billion, according to the website of the newspaper, stating that this is the first time such a sum is committed to bet on falling the single European currency.
The reason for this change of strategy: the loss of confidence in the euro, which no longer seems able to resist the contagion of the Greek debt on other European countries.Greece is central to the nervousness of financial markets, both on the Old Continent as the other major stock exchanges worldwide. And worries extend to serious budget situations Spanish and Portuguese.
Yesterday, Monday, Elena Salgado, Minister of Finance of Spain, and Jos? Manuel Campa, his deputy, flew to London to allay fears: They reiterated their goal of reducing by 3% budget deficit by 2013. It reached 11.4% of GDP in 2009.
The euro has won almost 10% in two months
On Tuesday, around 8:30 am, the euro regained some color since last night, going above 1.37 euros at 1.3728 dollar guaranteed approval cash loans . On Monday, the European single currency remained broadly under that threshold.There is still a week against the euro was trading more than 1.4 dollar.
The d?grindolage actually started last December. The euro was trading at nearly even $ 1.51. It is almost 10% more than two months later. Just this last month of 2009, the euro has won nearly 5%, losing 30 days that the currency had taken three months to win.
By touching a low at 1.3585 euros February 5, the euro has regained its level in May 2009 …. and August 2007.
For some analysts, the slide is not over, and the euro could well return to the threshold of 1.25 dollars, amid U.S. growth stronger than expected.
The political spotlight
Tomorrow, Wednesday, Ben Bernake, will explain why the strategy for ending the crisis that has put in place.Any speech that would imply a monetary tightening will cause the wrath of the financial markets.
Then, next Thursday, it was the turn of Europe to be in the limelight, with the meeting of heads of state of the eurozone.
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After the sharp market downturn in Paris last weekend, with the Cac 40 lost nearly 7% in 48 hours, optimism is in order at the beginning of the week Award paris.le CAC 40 is up 0.89% to 3595 points.
On the macroeconomic front, gross domestic product (GDP) of France is expected to grow by 0.5% in first quarter 2010, according to a first estimate of the Banque de France (BdF) on Monday.
The latest forecast from the National Institute of Statistics (INSEE) published December 17, the economic recovery in France will confirm in early 2010 but will be "laborious and delicate, with a growth of around 0.3 % to 0.4% per quarter until midyear.
The government recently revised upward its growth forecast for this year, rose 0.75% to 1.4% in the revised budget.
INSEE has published Friday its first figures on French growth in the last quarter of 2009. The government forecasts a GDP drop of 2.25% over the last year.
The detailed values to follow.
The French group displays and street furniture, JCDecaux, released on Thursday its sales in 2009, amounting to 1, 92 billion euros, down 11.5% compared to 2008.
This figure reflects the sharp drop in advertising business, the more cyclical activity of the group and the only fully established in Europe. She has indeed recorded a decline in organic sales of 16.1%. Activities Furniture Urban Transport and proved somewhat more resistant, their respective sales down 12.1% to 934 million euros and 6.3% to 589.6 million euros. Organic growth at constant scope and exchange rates, amounted to -10.9%, while the group expected a decline of 12.5%.
"The reduction in advertising budgets and a strong pressure on prices led to a decline in global advertising market, including internet, expected around 10%," said Jean-Francois Decaux, CEO and Co-CEO JCDecaux.
2009 the worst year since 1964
The annual report for France, compiled Wednesday by Kantar Media Institute, revealed growth "historically low" advertising market (+1.4%), outdoor (posters and street furniture) is the medium most affected (-8.7%).
In the fourth quarter, sales fell by 7.2% to 561.6 million euros. A perimeter and constant exchange rates the growth was -4.9%.
"2009 is undoubtedly the toughest year that JCDecaux has faced since the inception of the company in 1964, said Jean-Francois Decaux instant payday loan . The reduction in advertising budgets and a strong pressure on prices led to a decline in global advertising market, including on-line, expected around 10%.
Sales in Asia and North America most resistant
Europe, excluding France and the United Kingdom, presented a decrease in turnover from 16.7% to 650.9 million euros. La France has decreased its turnover by 8.7%, despite a difficult advertising environment and a strong performance in 2008 (organic growth of 4.8%).
The United Kingdom is the area that experienced the largest decline in fiscal 2009 (-25.5%), improving economic conditions, however, clearly in the fourth quarter. Asia-Pacific and North America have been stronger with declines of 6.7% to 300.9 million euros and 6.5% to 146.2 million euros.
"The group has benefited in the fourth quarter with a slight recovery in advertising spending and increased its exposure to emerging markets. The more positive view of advertisers found on some markets in September, seems to continue in the first quarter of this year. This allows us to be, for now, confident in the ability of JCDecaux to reach a rate of positive organic growth in the first quarter of 2010, "concludes Jean-Fran?ois Decaux.
The annual results 2009 JC Decaux will be published pre-market March 10, 2010.
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