Archive for the 'economic' Category
The U.S. stock market should be reluctant to take on the leadership on Monday. The index futures are predicting a slight decline in opening of U.S. markets. The index futures Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell back in effect respectively by 0.13% to 1099.50 points from 0.04% to 1873.10 points.
On Friday, the NYSE has ended sharply higher, buoyed by another round of quarterly results from U.S. companies of good quality and were reassured on the results of resistance testing in European banks. The Dow Jones gained 0.99% and the Nasdaq 1.05%. On the whole last week, the Dow Jones gained 3.23% and the Nasdaq rose 4.15%.
On the foreign exchange market, the euro steadied against the dollar. In the morning, it was worth 1.2901 dollars against 1.2906 dollars on Friday.
A busy week on the macroeconomic level.Today investors expect the sales figures for new housing. Another highlight, the U.S. central bank should publish its Beige Book Wednesday on the economic conditions. It will be very guarded while the president of the institution, Ben Bernanke said Wednesday before Congress the slow recovery, with no announcement of new funding in the economy.
On Tuesday, it is the Standard & Poor's / Case Schiller home prices and consumer confidence, which will be followed, before investors only look the next day on orders of durable goods. But it was the day Friday with the first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) U.S. second quarter to be expected this week.This new burst of publications should be especially followed when investors are questioning again on the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.
U.S. companies are still likely to take stock in their accounts this week, including the program six companies forming part of Dow Jones. Tomorrow investors expect such figures CIT and Lockheed Martin and those sitting in the middle of DuPont.
To follow today the title of BP traded on Wall Street. The British press refers to a departure from the CEO of BP, before tomorrow, the date of publication of interim results of the oil giant.
Always on the side of values, General Electric said Friday its increased dividend of 20%, the quarterly dividend from 10 cents to 12 cents. GE also announced a resumption of its share repurchase programs.He had stopped this practice in September 2008. The board gave its approval for an additional $ 11.6 billion. "GE hopes to end the year with $ 25 billion in cash, including proceeds from the sale of a majority stake in its subsidiary NBC Universal to Comcast" say the analysts at Aurel BGC. Some of this money will be used to buy three billion dollars in preferred shares that the group has sold the holding company Berkshire Hathaway of Warren Buffett in October 2008.
Also note Friday night, the FDIC, the federal agency whose primary responsibility is to guarantee bank deposits, announced the bankruptcy of six new American banks, bringing to 102 the number of closing establishments since the beginning of year. These six failures will cost about 394 million dollars to its compensation fund the FDIC.
The official trading hours may be difficult for Amazon Friday. In after market trading Thursday, the securities are traded on the internet provider declined by almost 15% to 102.55 dollars. After the official closure of Wall Street, Amazon has posted results that disappointed investors.
Of course, earnings rose 45% for its second quarter to 207 million or 45 cents per share. But analysts had predicted earnings of 53 cents per share.As for sales, Amazon will display a turnover of 6.57 billion, exceeding expectations (6.54 billion).
Operating profit rose 71% to 270 million but there is also far from the consensus (320 million estimated).
For the current quarter, Amazon provides billings between 6.9 and 7.6 billion dollars of bad credit payday advance. The operating profit should be between 210 and 310 million showing a margin of 3 to 4% The analysts' estimates were much higher: 361 million expected to be a margin of 5%.
In a statement, Jeff Bezos, founder and CEO of the site says, "We see rapid growth in sales of Kindle, Amazon web services, sales to third parties and retail.""Over the last twelve months, customers worldwide have ordered from their mobile device for over $ 1 billion worth of Amazon," says Jeff Bezos still, he was confident in the potential of Tablet PCs, like the Kindle or the 'iPad, to "become a vehicle extra" sales.
"The Post: public facing an unprecedented challenge, a necessary change." The title of the report of the Court of Auditors formally released Thursday speaks for itself. The government agency at a critical juncture. In debt and facing a collapse of its top market, mail, the Post will benefit from a capital increase of EUR 2.7 billion, provided by the State and the Caisse des depots. The two sides are negotiating the valuation of the company and hope to find common ground in late July.
In this context, the report of the Court was awaited. The sages of the Rue Cambon had already studied the Post in 2003.Returning to their audit work, they were able to measure the progress accomplished: modernization of industrial facilities, improved management of the company's … very positive developments, but that might not be sufficient "to deal deep and structural decline in the mail and opening the postal market on 1 January next competition within the Community. "
The dividends of La Banque Postale
To catch up, according to the Post Office should the Court's experts work on the cost of its network, delays in productivity and quality of its service. Especially as the company's management has adopted a strategic plan, "Ambition 2015", which assumptions are deemed voluntary by the Court. When The Post estimated the reduction in mail volumes between 2008 and 2015 to 30%, the Court suggested that he perform simulations starting with a scenario of a decline of 40%.
Jean-Paul Bailly, CEO of La Poste considers this as severe in 1 hour payday loans. For a leader, the company has shown, given the information available at the time of any possible reactivity to adapt to the collapse of mail. He recalled that in late 2007, "Nobody could anticipate the crisis" mail since, between 2003 and 2007, the total decline in traffic addressed had not exceeded 2.3%. Regarding the criticism on the quality of service, the CEO noted that the objectives set by the government have been exceeded in 2008 and 2009.
The banking subsidiary of La Poste, La Banque Postale, is also discussed. While the Court emphasized an increase in net banking income lower than expected, Jean-Paul Bailly emphasizes the exceptional resistance of La Banque Postale to the financial crisis.He returned to the strategy of developing new business banking (consumer finance, property and casualty …) partnerships. The choice "was in no way constrained by the priority given by the group to other investments."
It is a voluntary process that aims to accelerate the implementation of its services. In this regard, the Governor of the Bank of France in his own response to the report, asked the Post Office to ensure that its subsidiary "has the human skills and techniques required to address this market." The Governor also noted that the distribution rate of 45% of its income in the form of dividend proposed by the strategic plan of the Post Bank, would penalize a period "where capital must be strengthened."
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• Transport
– Station: Ticket prices for trains Coral, Intercity and TER (Regional Express Train) will increase an average of 2.5%. This will result in higher ticket from 10 cents to 2.30 euros depending on distance traveled during the trip.
As for the discount cards (cards 12-25, Senior, and Child Escapes +), their prices remain unchanged.
– RATP: The price of individual tickets will go from 1.60 euro to 1.70 euro.
Subscriptions Navigo will also increase, except for packages zone 1-5 and 1-6.The monthly Zones 1 and 2 (Paris and suburbs) rises from 56.60 to 60.40 euros (+6.7%), the zones 1-3 of 74.40 to 78.20 euros (+ 5.1%) and the zones 1 to 4 from 91.70 to 95.50 euros (+4.1%).
• Energy
– Gas: After an initial increase in April, prices will increase again by 2% to 4.7% (about 8 euros per year for those who use gas for hot water and cooking 45 per year for those who use it also for heating)
– Bulbs: As part of the scheduled end of incandescents in the EU to promote energy saving, incandescent lamps of 60 watts are removed from store shelves.Those whose power was 100 watts or more have disappeared from shelves in 2009.
• Bonus for scrap
The premium case is lowered to 500 euros instead of 700 for any car ordered until December 31.
• Stamps
The price of postage for mailings of letters under 20 grams, will increase by two cents from 56-58 cents, an increase of 3.5%.
• Retirement
The index points which is the basis for calculating salary in three public (state, territorial and hospital) must be revalued by 0.5%.
• Unemployment benefits
Allowances of approximately two million unemployed by unemployment insurance compensation will be revalued by 1.2%.
• Communication
– Hadopi: It is from this Thursday that the first warnings will be mailed to users in violation of the law on downloading.
– Phone: The price of calls made and received from another EU country (roaming within Europe) will be reduced to 39 cents per minute excluding VAT cons 43 cent today. Receiving a call will be charged € 0.15 per minute instead of EUR 0.19.The SMS tariff remains unchanged for its 11 cents per message.
• Business and Disability
Firms with more than 20 employees employ any disabled person and took no action to promote employment of disabled people will have their penalties tripled to about 13,000 euros per person missing.
• Livret A
Currently at its lowest level since its inception to 1.25% – Return of the booklet A should move to 1.50% or 1.75% from 1 August by Budget Minister Francois Baroin.
The purchasing power has registered a decline of 0.1%.
In the U.S., the third estimate of GDP is known to 14:30.
Banks up
As for values, Credit Agricole (-1.7%) Societe Generale (1.4%) BNP Paribas (+1.1%) and Axa (1.32%) appear at the top of the charts of best performance of the CAC 40, behind Vivendu which grimpede 1.7% to 17.5 euros.
In contrast, the values cars are worth, including Peugeot plir 0.67%, Renault, 0.36%, 0.6% Michelin. Construction is bad too, with Lafarge (-0.96%), largest decline, and Saint-Gobain (-0.25%).
Latecoère: 2.56% to 6 euros According to Le Figaro, the aerospace supplier will propose to its shareholders on Friday, meeting in General Assembly, the free allocation of share purchase warrants (BSA) in 2012.
The EDF Group postponed its decision to invest in an LNG terminal in Dunkirk (Northern), said Thursday a spokesman for the group. This terminal was supposed to compensate for some job losses related to the closure of the refinery from Total.
Computer Services sector companies might respond to better than expected quarterly results announced Thursday evening by Accenture. The Group's net profit stood at 564 million dollars (457 million euros), or $ 0.73 per share against 537 million ($ 0.68 per share) a year ago and $ 0.69 expected by Wall Street.
Alstom: -0.5% to 38.3 euros French industrial group on Thursday launched a U.S. production plant turbines, especially for nuclear power generation, for which he has invested about $ 300 million, according to a statement.
He has held eight weeks. The CEO of BP, Tony Hayward, should hand over the management of the oil spill from the Gulf of Mexico to another group leader, Robert Dudley. The ad, albeit tempered by a spokesman for the moment, was made by Carl-Henric Svanberg, president of the group, during an interview with Sky News on Friday. "He went there just after the explosion. It will now transmit the management operations on a day-to-day to Robert Dudley, "he said.
Robert Dudley, a member of the board of directors of the group is in charge of operations in the Americas and Asia. Tony Hayward had already chosen earlier this month to lead a team to manage, with the authorities, long-term consequences of the spill after it had ceased.
A president on Platter
According to several analysts, heads could also fall after the U.S. congressional hearings. Observers say that Tony Hayward was well out of the question-answer session with U.S. lawmakers. The announcement of the creation of a fund of 20 billion dollars had quieted some of the fears of investors. "The provision of Tony Hayward has not been great but it could have been worse. As a shareholder, our priority was to see that all energies were concentrated on repairing the broken sink, "said anonymously to Reuters one of the ten largest shareholders of the group.
The Director General could therefore keep his job. It might be different from President Carl-Henric Svanberg."We believe Tony Hayward is doing all it can do, but the chairman of the board of directors does it not come out that well at all. It almost did not hear, "says shareholder. Another investor in the list of top 20 shareholders of the group added: "From my point of view, it will be very, very difficult for the president to overcome that. This function must be occupied by someone credible on the international scene, and it is clear that this is not the case with the incumbent.
Same view for Peter Hitchens, analyst at Panmure Gordon: "There is more pressure on the president who was, at least initially, very little known. I think at this point, we'll have someone go, so BP is in trouble. " "Obviously, everybody is looking for a scapegoat.This could be the president, "said his side Yevgeny Solovyov, an analyst at Societe Generale.
"We will survive"
Faced with this pressure, Carl-Henric Svanberg trying to stay focused. "BP is a very solid company and we will survive," he said. He said a disappearance of the band because of this disaster "can not happen."
The spill in the Gulf of Mexico has so far cost the group $ 1.8 billion, and the bill could rise considerably. In criminal prosecutions, the company may have to pay tens of billions of dollars in legal fees alone. Analysts estimate that the total cost of the disaster for BP should be between 17 and 60 billion dollars.
"On the 24-hour period ending at midnight last night, we were able to recover 25,000 barrels of oil," Friday welcomed Admiral Thad Allen to coordinate the fight against the tide black. He added that BP expected increase this volume to 53,000 barrels per day by end June So far, BP recovered 15,000 barrels per day, while the well is located 1,500 meters deep and 80 miles from U.S. shores spits every day between 35,000 and 60,000 barrels (up to 9.5 million liters) of oil .
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LE FIGARO – The backbone of "retirement" is specific to staff align their contribution rate over that of private sector employees. Why?
Georges Tron – We want a clear and equitable reform. Nothing justifies to contribute three points behind, having comparable pensions. This represents an increase of 6 euros of contributions, on an average salary of 2000 euros a month for ten years.
The calculation of the pension on the last six months of salary, instead of twenty-five best years, is also a symbol of inequity for the opinion …
Wrongly so, if you look calmly at things! We are in a very specific body, grades, levels, indices, with premiums that are excluded from the calculation of the pension.The only question worth asking is: these rules they generate large differences in pay and pensions? The answer is no.
Why have kept "active groups" instead of applying to civil servants the opportunity to retire early for hardship, which will soon be applied in the private sector?
Occupations in uniform (police, firefighters, prison guards …) can effectively retire at 50 or 55 years. It is an old way to take into account how hard these jobs, which nobody denies. The classes are kept active but these floors will be carried over age two years, as for everyone.
You open next Friday, a salary negotiation. Bercy pushes you to a freezing point index.The 0.5% increase for July 1, promised two years ago by Éric Woerth, Will it be good?
While it is important to keep its commitments, we must be lucid about the state of public accounts. This first session will assess the progress of the purchasing power of workers in 2009 and expected for 2010. Based on this diagnosis, I hope shared with the unions, we will be open to discussion. One thing is certain: the issue of pensions is, Eric Woerth and I disconnected from that of wages. There is no question of compensating the first by the second. This would immediately cancel the legitimate efforts and gradual asked officials on pensions, that nobody would understand.
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"Pensions: a majority of French opposed the reform
While Tuesday night, the CAC 40 has once again ended the session down market, the main index of the Paris attempts a rebound after three days of declines.
At the opening, the Paris Bourse is 0.93% at 3411 points, passing the symbolic start of the 3400 points.
In Asia, however, counters Nikkei enrolled in dark red. The Japanese index finished at its lowest in six months. And if the Dow Jones finished up comfortable last night, the Nasdaq index of technology stocks, has been on a decline, showing the confidence of investors vis-à-vis companies that export to Europe.
Another reason to shun the market, the Fitch rating, released Tuesday afternoon, which estimates that the UK is facing fiscal challenges "formidable".
On the foreign exchange market, the euro remains fragile, and still very much under rated $ 1.2 to U.S. $ 1.1934 around 7:30 exatement.In addition, gold has reached a new record Tuesday, beyond $ 1250.
The CAC 40, which ended Tuesday under 3400 points, should continue to decline on Wednesday.According to technical analysis, the benchmark index of the Paris market, which fell under 3381 points, could soon fall below 3,349 points in intraday (that is to say during the meeting), then the line of sight is then fixed at 3290 points.
Growth of European countries to follow
Several European countries will face the second estimate of GDP in the first quarter of 2010, as Belgium, Portugal, Greece and Hungary, etc..
On Wednesday, OPEC, OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) will release its monthly report just after 12:30.
U.S. Overseas, will be published at 16.30 weekly stocks of crude oil, as Ben Bernanke, the Fed chairman, will now testify before the Budget Committee of the House of Representatives on the economic and financial the federal budget.
EADS: Airbus signs "Order of the Century
Airbus, EADS subsidiary cash "Order of the century. Emirates Airlines will pay 11.5 billion dollars to supplement its fleet of A380s. Titles s'adjugent 2.4% to 16.62 euros.
Remy Cointreau: biggest drop of the SBF 120 The spirits group has published results from 2009 to 2010 a little worse than expected, with organic growth of EBIT by 7.2%, slightly below expectations consensus. The net result is in line with expectations, and the group confirms its growth prospects. In exchange, the current loose 2.6% 41.85 euros.
Ingenico, one of the largest increases The French manufacturer of payment terminals, the world, is a sales "more than one billion euros" in 2013, against 700 million in 2009.The shares climbed 4.3% to 17.2 euros.
Vivendi: -0.78% to 16.44 euros The stock market authorities of the country believe that the group had misinformed the market to buy GVT. The fine could reach 1.3 billion euros, according to the Brazilian press.
France Telecom: 1.1% to 15.3 euros a surprise move in the soap opera twists in the takeover of the newspaper Le Monde. After the trio led by Matthew Pigasse, Pierre Berge, Xavier Niel is Orange on the scene.Stéphane Richard, CEO of France Telecom, has expressed interest in an industrial partnership with Le Monde in an interview with Reuters.
The group will hold its general meeting this Wednesday.
Total: 1.25% to 38.1 euros United Arab Emirates are expected to sign Wednesday with the French Total and the Spanish Abengoa an agreement to build a solar power plant of 100 megawatts (MW) for $ 600 million ( 500 million euros), the Financial Times.
GDF Suez: 0.33% to 24.5 euros GDF Suez will spend 300 million euros to take control of its joint venture with Societe Generale, Gaselys to become a European leader in the trading of gas and Energy, said Wednesday the newspaper Les Echos
Dassault Systemes: +1.6% to 48.3 euros The group announced the acquisition for about 130 million euros of Exalead, a French company specialized in solutions research and access to corporate information and Internet.
ArcelorMittal has initiated the Natixis group couverturedu diversified steelmaker with an opinion "buy" and a target price of 34 euros, or appreciation potential of more than 50%.
Rodriguez Group, the CEO still in custody
The action was suspended on Tuesday at the request of the designer of yachts and pending a statement.Its president is in custody in police stations Marseille, after a crackdown against organized crime.
Property Regions: -0.31% to 71.2 euros The group off his special dividend (3.30 euros + six shares of Beni Stabili) after the closing, prior to the listing of its Italian subsidiary to the Paris Bourse, which starts Friday.
Wendel: +1.1% to 41 euros Wendel Participations, which groups the interests of family shareholders Wendel, holds its General Assembly (GA) on Wednesday. Questions remain about the governance and financial benefits granted to executives, said Sophie Boegner, a member of the family, on the eve of the GA.
OL Groupe: 1.23% to 8.2 eurosLe band announced the arrival of Philippe Sauze, currently vice president Europe, the U.S. company Electronic Arts, the world leader in the videogame industry, as Director General from 1st of July.
Electricity The electricity bill threatens to fly. ERDF, a subsidiary of EDF in charge of distribution, said that the cost initially calculated, ie 120 euros per household, is still relevant. An envelope 4-5000000000 euros to finance the whole operation. However, according to the Federation of local communities, this amount could be twice as high.
Back to basics for Lakshmi Mittal. The Chairman of ArcelorMittal, the fifth World Fortune has signed a Memorandum of Understanding for the construction of a steel plant in India, Karnataka State, south of the country. A mammoth project with an annual capacity of six million tonnes which would require more than 5 billion euros of investment. In the crosshairs, the Indian market: "India needs more steel and we must take part in this growth," said Lakshmi Mittal.
It was a long ArcelorMittal looking to implement a major project in India. A similar agreement was thus created in 2006 to develop a huge site.The state of Orissa, north-east, had been chosen, but since the group steelmaker hardly be allocated land by local authorities.
Beyond the financial aspects, this new project is a highly symbolic Lakshmi Mittal. He might be born in Rajasthan, have raised and educated in Calcutta, the wire was broken long ago with his country of origin. If he cut his teeth in the small mill of his father, the tycoon starts very early in the assault on lucrative opportunities abroad. In Indonesia, Trinidad and Tobago, Mexico and Kazakhstan that makes the group a family empire of steel.
Other projects in northern India
The gap is widening even further in 1994 with the partition of the group.Lakshmi, his father and his two brothers did not agree and the company is split into two faxless pay day loans. In Lakshmi operations abroad to the rest of the family, the Indian Affairs. Since, like Anil and Mukesh Ambani, the richest two brothers of the world settle their disputes before the courts, Mittal have all the trouble in the world to reconcile. Incommensurate with the billions earned by Lakshmi, his two younger brothers were still able to grow and it is not uncommon for the two groups are fighting the same markets. Africa was the setting for these quarrels, in 2004 or 2008 in Liberia and Nigeria.
Gradually, Lakshmi was thus cut off from India. Yet holds an Indian passport, he could never win in his homeland.Stamped "NRI", acronym of Indians living outside their borders, it has long been criticized for its lack of involvement in Indian affairs. Ask in the streets of Bombay Indian captains of industry, the name of Mittal will systematically swept under the carpet, at the expense of the brothers Ambani, Ratan Tata or India's Richard Branson, Vijay Mallya.
With this comeback, Lakshmi Mittal India regilds therefore its image. Especially since the Indian adventure should not stop there way. In addition to this mill, ArcelorMittal plans to inject more than $ 20 billion in other sites in northern India.
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Gold broke his own record
Like last week, the attraction of gold can not be denied on the markets. Despite the aid plan of 750 billion euros earmarked by the European heads of state, investors worried and rushed to gold. The gold chains the record: the rising price ended at 1249.40 dollars, never seen on the London market which serves a global reference. On the London Bullion Market, an ounce of gold ended Friday at 1236.50 dollars at auction Friday night, cons 1202.50 dollars the previous Friday.
In its wake, the money is increased to a level it had attained over the past two years.The gray metal rose Thursday to 19.64 dollars, not far from $ 20 per ounce reached in March 2008, to finally finish the week at 19.64 dollars Friday.
Stimulated by the gold and silver, platinum group metals have rebounded after falling last week, victims of the strengthening dollar. On the London Platinum and Palladium Market, an ounce of platinum finished in 1721 dollars Friday. In turn, an ounce of palladium finished $ 536.
The dominant concern in oil markets
The continued turmoil in oil markets. The prices fell Friday to their lowest levels in three months to 70.83 dollars. On the Nymex, a barrel of light sweet crude for June delivery finished at 71.61 dollars, down 2.79 dollars compared to Thursday. Prices have been a difficult week, leaving more than $ 5 in four sessions.They are well below the levels of early April, when the barrel was mounted to $ 87. In London, Brent crude ended Friday at 77.20 dollars, yielding 2.93% on the week.
As the equity markets, the euphoria that had raised prices Monday has not taken very long. The markets saw a dim announced the austerity policies that could lead to a slowdown in oil demand. Moreover, the continuing fall of the single European currency, which fell Friday to its lowest level since October 2008 (1.2359 dollars), weighs heavily on the markets.
In addition, crude oil reserves rose 1.9 million barrels during the week ended May 7, two times more than expected.
Week of mixed fortunes for base metals
On the London Metal Exchange (LME), the week has been more troubled.Investors fear the rigors of European policies that could dampen growth. In addition, China has caused confusion by announcing lower than expected macroeconomic data: the rate of growth of China's industrial output slowed in April, rising 17.8% year on year, after 18.1% March.
Copper, considered a barometer of the market ended the week slightly up to 6955 dollars per tonne. The aluminum stabilized this week at 2,093 dollars per tonne against 2,090 dollars the previous week.Zinc, nickel and lead have declined by 1.8% to 2.050 dollars per tonne, from 3% to 21,650 dollars per tonne and 2.4% in 1950 dollars.
Agricultural raw materials: sugar recovers
On Liffe in London, a tonne of white sugar for August delivery was worth 470 pounds on Friday against 435.80 pounds a ton for the same term last Friday. On the NYBOT U.S. a pound of raw sugar for July delivery was worth 14.88 cents against 13.64 cents a week earlier. But the euphoria is unlikely to last. The International Sugar Organisation (ISO) said Thursday he expected a surplus in 2010-2011 of nearly 2.5 million tonnes. Production is expected to grow in Brazil, India, Mexico.
For his part, cocoa was penalized by the strengthening dollar and profit taking. There is also an expected production increase in Brazil.Prices fell to 2,212 pounds per tonne in London and 2852 dollars in New York, respectively, the lowest since three weeks and a month. They ended the week at 2,232 pounds on Liffe and 2858 dollars on NYBOT.
Moreover, prices of wheat, corn and soybeans fell this week in Chicago, penalized by the rapid advance of planting in the United States. May 2, 68% corn, 60% of spring wheat and 15% of soybeans had been planted against respectively 40%, 47% and 8% on average over the past five years. In addition, the rising dollar makes U.S. production less attractive to export than those in Europe. The contract of corn for July delivery ended Friday at $ 3.63 and lost 2.4% on the week.The contract of soybeans in the same maturity fell to 9.53 dollars per bushel (-0.7%) while the wheat contract ended at U.S. $ 4.71 (-7.6%).
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The gold stands at around 1,240 dollars per ounce
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